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Statistical Methods for Degradation Estimation and Anomaly Detection in Photovoltaic Plants

Authors: Vesna Dimitrievska; Federico Pittino; Wolfgang Muehleisen; Nicole Diewald; Markus Hilweg; Andràs Montvay; Christina Hirschl;

Statistical Methods for Degradation Estimation and Anomaly Detection in Photovoltaic Plants

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) plants typically suffer from a significant degradation in performance over time due to multiple factors. Operation and maintenance systems aim at increasing the efficiency and profitability of PV plants by analyzing the monitoring data and by applying data-driven methods for assessing the causes of such performance degradation. Two main classes of degradation exist, being it either gradual or a sudden anomaly in the PV system. This has motivated our work to develop and implement statistical methods that can reliably and accurately detect the performance issues in a cost-effective manner. In this paper, we introduce different approaches for both gradual degradation assessment and anomaly detection. Depending on the data available in the PV plant monitoring system, the appropriate method for each degradation class can be selected. The performance of the introduced methods is demonstrated on data from three different PV plants located in Slovenia and Italy monitored for several years. Our work has led us to conclude that the introduced approaches can contribute to the prompt and accurate identification of both gradual degradation and sudden anomalies in PV plants.

Keywords

Chemical technology, failure detection, degradation analysis, operation & maintenance, TP1-1185, operation &amp, Article, maintenance, machine learning, PV system

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    9
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
9
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold