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Equity Return Dispersion and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence from Multivariate Linear and Nonlinear Causality Tests

doi: 10.3390/su11020351
handle: 2263/74916
We employ bivariate and multivariate nonlinear causality tests to document causality from equity return dispersion to stock market volatility and excess returns, even after controlling for the state of the economy. Expansionary (contractionary) market states are associated with a low (high) level of equity return dispersion, indicating asymmetries in the relationship between return dispersion and economic conditions. Our findings indicate that both return dispersion and business conditions are valid joint forecasters of stock market volatility and excess returns and that return dispersion possesses incremental information regarding future stock return dynamics beyond that which can be explained by the state of the economy.
- Southern Illinois University Carbondale United States
- China Medical University Hospital Taiwan
- Hang Seng Management College China (People's Republic of)
- Hang Seng Management College China (People's Republic of)
- Asian University Taiwan
stock market volatility, Equity return dispersion, TJ807-830, Business cycle, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, equity return dispersion, business cycle, Stock market volatility, G10, GE1-350, Multivariate causality, C32, E32, Environmental effects of industries and plants, JEL Codes, <title>JEL Codes</title>, Environmental sciences, multivariate causality
stock market volatility, Equity return dispersion, TJ807-830, Business cycle, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, equity return dispersion, business cycle, Stock market volatility, G10, GE1-350, Multivariate causality, C32, E32, Environmental effects of industries and plants, JEL Codes, <title>JEL Codes</title>, Environmental sciences, multivariate causality
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