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Accurate Sizing of Residential Stand-Alone Photovoltaic Systems Considering System Reliability

Authors: Eduardo Quiles; Carlos Roldán-Blay; Guillermo Escrivá-Escrivá; Carlos Roldán-Porta;

Accurate Sizing of Residential Stand-Alone Photovoltaic Systems Considering System Reliability

Abstract

In rural areas or in isolated communities in developing countries it is increasingly common to install micro-renewable sources, such as photovoltaic (PV) systems, by residential consumers without access to the utility distribution network. The reliability of the supply provided by these stand-alone generators is a key issue when designing the PV system. The proper system sizing for a minimum level of reliability avoids unacceptable continuity of supply (undersized system) and unnecessary costs (oversized system). This paper presents a method for the accurate sizing of stand-alone photovoltaic (SAPV) residential generation systems for a pre-established reliability level. The proposed method is based on the application of a sequential random Monte Carlo simulation to the system model. Uncertainties of solar radiation, energy demand, and component failures are simultaneously considered. The results of the case study facilitate the sizing of the main energy elements (solar panels and battery) depending on the required level of reliability, taking into account the uncertainties that affect this type of facility. The analysis carried out demonstrates that deterministic designs of SAPV systems based on average demand and radiation values or the average number of consecutive cloudy days can lead to inadequate levels of continuity of supply.

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Keywords

Renewable energy, TJ807-830, battery storage, reliability evaluation, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, GE1-350, Battery storage, Photovoltaic generation, Environmental effects of industries and plants, Reliability evaluation, 11.- Conseguir que las ciudades y los asentamientos humanos sean inclusivos, seguros, resilientes y sostenibles, Monte Carlo Simulation, monte carlo simulation, renewable energy, INGENIERIA DE SISTEMAS Y AUTOMATICA, Environmental sciences, 07.- Asegurar el acceso a energías asequibles, fiables, sostenibles y modernas para todos, INGENIERIA ELECTRICA, photovoltaic generation

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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