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Analysis of Crash Frequency and Crash Severity in Thailand: Hierarchical Structure Models Approach

doi: 10.3390/su131810086
Currently, research on the development of crash models in terms of crash frequency on road segments and crash severity applies the principles of spatial analysis and heterogeneity due to the methods’ suitability compared with traditional models. This study focuses on crash severity and frequency in Thailand. Moreover, this study aims to understand crash frequency and fatality. The result of the intra-class correlation coefficient found that the spatial approach should analyze the data. The crash frequency model’s best fit is a spatial zero-inflated negative binomial model (SZINB). The results of the random parameters of SZINB are insignificant, except for the intercept. The crash frequency model’s significant variables include the length of the segment and average annual traffic volume for the fixed parameters. Conversely, the study finds that the best fit model of crash severity is a logistic regression with spatial correlations. The variances of random effect are significant such as the intersection, sideswipe crash, and head-on crash. Meanwhile, the fixed-effect variables significant to fatality risk include motorcycles, gender, non-use of safety equipment, and nighttime collision. The paper proposes a policy applicable to agencies responsible for driver training, law enforcement, and those involved in crash-reduction campaigns.
- Suranaree University of Technology Thailand
- Suranaree University of Technology Thailand
- Rajamangala University of Technology Thailand
- Nakhon Phanom University Thailand
- Rajamangala University of Technology Isan Thailand
hierarchical structure analysis, crash severity, Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, zero-inflated, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, spatial model, Thai highways, GE1-350
hierarchical structure analysis, crash severity, Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, zero-inflated, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, spatial model, Thai highways, GE1-350
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).13 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
