Transformative Change Needs Direction
Copyright policy )Transformative Change Needs Direction
Comparing the impacts of future scenarios is essential for developing and guiding the political sustainability agenda. This review-based analysis compares six IPBES scenarios for their impacts on 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 20 biodiversity targets (Aichi targets) for the Europe and Central Asia regions. The comparison is based on a review of 143 modeled scenarios synthesized in a plural cost–benefit approach which provides the distances to multiple policy goals. We confirm and substantiate the claim that transformative change is vital but also point out which directions for political transformation are to be preferred. The hopeful message is that large societal losses might still be avoided, and multiple benefits can be generated over the coming decades and centuries. Yet, policies will need to strongly steer away from scenarios based on regional competition, inequality, and economic optimism.
- University of Lisbon Portugal
- University of Lausanne Switzerland
- French National Centre for Scientific Research France
- Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications Spain
- University of Geneva Switzerland
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, climate changes, policy scenarios, talouspolitiikka, Sustainable Development Goals, SDG, taloudellinen kehitys, muutos, Renewable energy sources, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, politiikka, environmental policy, GE1-350, ta519, Eurooppa, SDGs, economic policy, sustainable development, Environmental effects of industries and plants, kestävä kehitys, scenarios, Keski-Aasia, 320, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, plural valuation, [SHS] Humanities and Social Sciences, kestävyys, politics, policy, future, Asia, TJ807-830, TD194-195, Aasia, 333, Ecology and Environment, tulevaisuudentutkimus, Central Asia, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9, futures research, transformation, regional development, ilmastonmuutokset, skenaariot, economic development, Environmental sciences, ilmastonmuutos, aluekehitys, transformation; plural valuation; Sustainable Development Goals; policy scenarios, tulevaisuus
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, climate changes, policy scenarios, talouspolitiikka, Sustainable Development Goals, SDG, taloudellinen kehitys, muutos, Renewable energy sources, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, politiikka, environmental policy, GE1-350, ta519, Eurooppa, SDGs, economic policy, sustainable development, Environmental effects of industries and plants, kestävä kehitys, scenarios, Keski-Aasia, 320, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, plural valuation, [SHS] Humanities and Social Sciences, kestävyys, politics, policy, future, Asia, TJ807-830, TD194-195, Aasia, 333, Ecology and Environment, tulevaisuudentutkimus, Central Asia, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/333.7-333.9, futures research, transformation, regional development, ilmastonmuutokset, skenaariot, economic development, Environmental sciences, ilmastonmuutos, aluekehitys, transformation; plural valuation; Sustainable Development Goals; policy scenarios, tulevaisuus
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