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Patent Data Analytics for Technology Forecasting of the Railway Main Transformer

doi: 10.3390/su15010278
The railway main transformer is considered one of the most important electrical equipment for trains. Companies and research institutes around the world are striving to develop high-performance railway main transformers. In order to be the first mover for railway main transformer technology, companies and research institutes should predict vacant technology based on the analysis of promising detailed technology areas. Therefore, in this study, a patent analysis to predict vacant technologies based on identified promising IPC technology areas is provided. In order to identify promising detailed IPC technology areas, the technology mapping analysis, the time series analysis, and the social network analysis are conducted based on the patent-IPC matrix, extracted from the data information of 707 patents from the patent database of Korea, China, Japan, United States, Canada, and Europe. Then, through the GTM analysis based on promising detailed IPC technology areas, one vacant technology node and three analysis target nodes surrounding the vacant technology node are obtained to predict vacant technologies. From the analysis, we predict the following three groups of vacant technologies: (1) blowerless technology, (2) oil-free technology, and (3) solid-state technology. This study provides insights on the technology trend in railway main transformers, as well as the analysis framework for the development of R&D strategies based on the patent data.
- Korea University Korea (Republic of)
- Korea University Korea (Republic of)
- Korea Railroad Research Institute Korea (Republic of)
- Korea University Korea (Republic of)
- Korea University Korea (Republic of)
Environmental effects of industries and plants, railway main transformer; electrical equipment; technology forecasting; patent analysis; vacant technology, technology forecasting, TJ807-830, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, electrical equipment, vacant technology, GE1-350, railway main transformer, patent analysis
Environmental effects of industries and plants, railway main transformer; electrical equipment; technology forecasting; patent analysis; vacant technology, technology forecasting, TJ807-830, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, electrical equipment, vacant technology, GE1-350, railway main transformer, patent analysis
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).7 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
