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Resource Demand Growth and Sustainability Due to Increased World Consumption


Stanislav S. Borysov
doi: 10.3390/su7033430
The paper aims at continuing the discussion on sustainability and attempts to forecast the impossibility of the expanding consumption worldwide due to the planet’s limited resources. As the population of China, India and other developing countries continue to increase, they would also require more natural and financial resources to sustain their growth. We coarsely estimate the volumes of these resources (energy, food, freshwater) and the gross domestic product (GDP) that would need to be achieved to bring the population of India and China to the current levels of consumption in the United States. We also provide estimations for potentially needed immediate growth of the world resource consumption to meet this equality requirement. Given the tight historical correlation between GDP and energy consumption, the needed increase of GDP per capita in the developing world to the levels of the U.S. would deplete explored fossil fuel reserves in less than two decades. These estimates predict that the world economy would need to find a development model where growth would be achieved without heavy dependence on fossil fuels.
- Institute of Materials Science Viet Nam
- Royal Institute of Technology Sweden
- Los Alamos National Laboratory United States
- Nordiq (Sweden) Sweden
- Vietnam Academy of Science and Technology Viet Nam
Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, TD194-195, sustainable economic development, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, sustainable economic development; energy consumption; developing world, energy consumption, GE1-350, developing world, jel: jel:Q0, jel: jel:Q2, jel: jel:Q3, jel: jel:Q5, jel: jel:O13, jel: jel:Q, jel: jel:Q56
Environmental effects of industries and plants, TJ807-830, TD194-195, sustainable economic development, Renewable energy sources, Environmental sciences, sustainable economic development; energy consumption; developing world, energy consumption, GE1-350, developing world, jel: jel:Q0, jel: jel:Q2, jel: jel:Q3, jel: jel:Q5, jel: jel:O13, jel: jel:Q, jel: jel:Q56
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).40 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
