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The Economic Costs of Climate Change: A Multi-Sector Impact Assessment for Vietnam

Authors: Arndt, Channing; Tarp, Finn; Thurlow, James;

The Economic Costs of Climate Change: A Multi-Sector Impact Assessment for Vietnam

Abstract

We adopt a multi-sectoral approach and consider the full range of climate projections. Biophysical damages are translated into economic costs using a dynamic economy-wide model. Our results indicate that the negative impacts on agriculture and roads are modest to 2050. Larger costs are caused by rising sea levels and cyclone strikes. Overall, climate change is likely to reduce national income by between one and two percent by 2050 (relative to a historical baseline). Damages double under more extreme projections. Our findings suggest that there are net benefits from selected pre-emptive actions though careful consideration of opportunity costs is required.

Country
Denmark
Keywords

O21, TJ807-830, multi-sector, TD194-195, Renewable energy sources, Climatic changes, Econometric models, Economic aspects (Environment), Global warming, GE1-350, Mehr-Sektoren-Modell, uncertainty, Makroökonomischer Einfluss, Q51, Klimawandel, Q54, Environmental effects of industries and plants, CGE-Modelling, Allgemeines Gleichgewicht, O13, CGE model, climate change; uncertainty; multi-sector; CGE model; Vietnam, Environmental sciences, climate change, Vietnam, jel: jel:Q, jel: jel:Q0, jel: jel:Q2, jel: jel:Q3, jel: jel:Q5, jel: jel:O13, jel: jel:Q56, ddc: ddc:330

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    34
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
34
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
gold