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Assessment of Water Supply Stability for Drought-Vulnerable Boryeong Multipurpose Dam in South Korea Using Future Dry Climate Change Scenarios

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article , Journal , Other literature type 15 Nov 2019Publisher:MDPI AGJournal:Water, volume 11, page 2,403 (eissn: 2073-4441,

Authors: Wonjin Kim; Jiwan Lee; Jinuk Kim; Seongjoon Kim;

doi: 10.3390/w11112403

Assessment of Water Supply Stability for Drought-Vulnerable Boryeong Multipurpose Dam in South Korea Using Future Dry Climate Change Scenarios

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Abstract

This study assessed the water supply stability for Boryeong multipurpose dam by applying future dry climate change scenarios and Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). CMCC-CM, INM-CM4, and IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios were selected as the future dry conditions using Runs theory and Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). For historical (1980–1999), present (2000–2019), and future periods (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) of the 6 scenarios, SWAT model was used to simulate the future dam water supply stability. The stability was evaluated in terms of reliability (RT), resilience (RS), and vulnerability (V) based on the monthly target storage. The results showed that the future RT can be decreased to 0.803 in 2050s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 8.5 scenario from present 0.955. The future RS and V showed the minimum value of 0.003 and the biggest value of 3567.6 × 106 m3 in 2070s IPSL-CM5A-MR RCP 4.5 scenario. The future RT, RS, and V showed that the dam has low resilience and is vulnerable to future drought scenarios.

Related Organizations

Konkuk University
Korea (Republic of)
Konkuk University
Korea (Republic of)

Keywords

Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes, water supply, runs theory, spi, SPI, swat, drought, Hydraulic engineering, Runs theory, climate change, dry scenario, SWAT, TC1-978, TD201-500

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	impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.	Top 10%