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Impacts of Human Activity and Global Changes on Future Morphodynamics within the Tien River, Vietnamese Mekong Delta

Authors: Christian Jordan; Jan Visscher; Nguyen Viet Dung; Heiko Apel; Torsten Schlurmann;

Impacts of Human Activity and Global Changes on Future Morphodynamics within the Tien River, Vietnamese Mekong Delta

Abstract

The hydro- and morphodynamic processes within the Vietnamese Mekong Delta are heavily impacted by human activity, which in turn affects the livelihood of millions of people. The main drivers that could impact future developments within the delta are local stressors like hydropower development and sand mining, but also global challenges like climate change and relative sea level rise. Within this study, a hydro-morphodynamic model was developed, which focused on a stretch of the Tien River and was nested into a well-calibrated model of the delta’s hydrodynamics. Multiple scenarios were developed in order to assess the projected impacts of the different drivers on the river’s morphodynamics. Simulations were carried out for a baseline scenario (2000–2010) and for a set of plausible scenarios for a future period (2050–2060). The results for the baseline scenario indicate that the Tien River is already subject to substantial erosion under present-day conditions. For the future period, hydropower development has the highest impact on the local erosion and deposition budget, thus amplifying erosional processes, followed by an increase in sand mining activity and climate change-related variations in discharge. The results also indicate that relative sea level rise only has a minimal impact on the local morphodynamics of this river stretch, while erosional tendencies are slowed by a complete prohibition of sand mining activity. In the future, an unfavourable combination of drivers could increase the local imbalance between erosion and deposition by up to 89%, while the bed level could be incised by an additional 146%.

Country
Germany
Keywords

550, Global challenges, Budget control, Mekong Delta, Climate change, river morphology, TD201-500, Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes, numerical modelling, Morphodynamic process, climate change, Sand mining, Numerical modelling, Erosion, Viet Nam, Hydroelectric power, Erosion and deposition, TC1-978, future prospect, morphodynamics, Dam impacts, Sea level rise, Rivers, Sand mining activities, Sea level, dam impacts, Deposition, Mekong, Hydro-power development, Morphodynamic modeling, sand mining, Erosional process, Hydraulic engineering, human activity, Relative sea level rise, river water, sea level rise, Hydroelectric power plants, hydrodynamics, Dewey Decimal Classification::600 | Technik::690 | Hausbau, Bauhandwerk, River morphology

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    16
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
16
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%