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EVALUATION DU NIVEAU D’EQUILIBRE DU DIRHAM MAROCAIN

Authors: Said Tounsi; Aziz Ragbi;

EVALUATION DU NIVEAU D’EQUILIBRE DU DIRHAM MAROCAIN

Abstract

L'évaluation du taux de change d’équilibre de moyen terme à travers les trois mesures -l'équilibre macroéconomique, le taux de change d'équilibre et la viabilité extérieure- suggère une surévaluation du dirham marocain qui a atteint son niveau maximal en 2012. Cette évolution est liée à la dégradation du solde du compte courant comme en témoigne le creusement du déficit commercial et à la détérioration du déficit budgétaire. En somme, ce travail conclut que la surévaluation du dirham marocain a bien plus de déterminants que le déséquilibre extérieur. Si une politique de dévaluation semble être inappropriée dans le contexte actuel, la consolidation de l’équilibre macroéconomique se révèle alors comme une condition primordiale pour éviter une possible surévaluation du dirham marocain.

Revue Economie, Gestion et Société, No 3 (2015)

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Keywords

taux de change d'équilibre, CGER, dirham, mésalignement, approche d'équilibre macroéconomique, Taux de change d'équilibre, CGER, Approche d'équilibre macroéconomique., HD28-70, Economics as a science, Management. Industrial management, HB71-74, taux de change d'équilibre, cger, approche d'équilibre macroéconomique.

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold