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Understanding the present distribution of the parasitic weed Striga hermonthica and predicting its potential future geographic distribution in the light of climate change

Authors: Joachim Sauerborn; Renzoandre de la Pena-Lavander; Marc Cotter;

Understanding the present distribution of the parasitic weed Striga hermonthica and predicting its potential future geographic distribution in the light of climate change

Abstract

Parasitic weeds of the genus Striga (Orobanchaceae) are a major constraint to agricultural production in the semi-arid regions in Sub-Saharan Africa. Therefore, Striga hermonthica’s current and future distribution needs to be estimated urgently in order to better and more efficiently target available Striga management strategies. Using innovative GIS-based modeling complemented by greenhouse and field studies, our research aims to better understand the present geographic distribution of Striga species and to predict potential future expansion areas of these dangerous weeds. Parameters determining the presence or absence of Striga were analyzed and available data complemented by new studies on Striga ecology and seed bank dynamics gained at the University of Hohenheim and ICRISAT, Mali.In order to provide managers and decision maker with a useful tool to take precautionary and palliative actions against the menace of infestation by invasive or parasitic species, it is important to assess the possible future distribution of such species, especially in vulnerable areas where the parasite has not yet appeared. Based on the present geographic distribution and the factors affecting it, different climate projections have been applied to indicate areas that will become susceptible to Striga invasion in the future. Datasets on the impact of climate change from IPCC workgroups have been used as basis for this assessment, combined with information gained from field trips, herbaria assessments and literature. The results of this study show trends in the potential future distribution of Striga hermonthica, but also indicate areas where the methodology can be improved and refined to allow more precise and reliable predictions.

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Keywords

Klimawandel, climate change, S, QK1-989, Striga hermonthica, Botany, Agriculture, potentielle Verbreitung, parasitic weed, parasitäres Unkraut, potential distribution

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
gold
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