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Evaluating China's fossil-fuel CO2 emissions from a comprehensive dataset of nine inventories

Evaluating China's fossil-fuel CO2 emissions from a comprehensive dataset of nine inventories
Abstract. China's fossil-fuel CO2 (FFCO2) emissions accounted for approximately 28 % of the global total FFCO2 in 2016. An accurate estimate of China's FFCO2 emissions is a prerequisite for global and regional carbon budget analyses and the monitoring of carbon emission reduction efforts. However, significant uncertainties and discrepancies exist in estimations of China's FFCO2 emissions due to a lack of detailed traceable emission factors (EFs) and multiple statistical data sources. Here, we evaluated China's FFCO2 emissions from nine published global and regional emission datasets. These datasets show that the total emissions increased from 3.4 (3.0–3.7) in 2000 to 9.8 (9.2–10.4) Gt CO2 yr−1 in 2016. The variations in these estimates were largely due to the different EF (0.491–0.746 t C per t of coal) and activity data. The large-scale patterns of gridded emissions showed a reasonable agreement, with high emissions being concentrated in major city clusters, and the standard deviation mostly ranged from 10 % to 40 % at the provincial level. However, patterns beyond the provincial scale varied significantly, with the top 5 % of the grid level accounting for 50 %–90 % of total emissions in these datasets. Our findings highlight the significance of using locally measured EF for Chinese coal. To reduce uncertainty, we recommend using physical CO2 measurements and use these values for dataset validation, key input data sharing (e.g., point sources), and finer-resolution validations at various levels.
- Peking University China (People's Republic of)
- Peking University China (People's Republic of)
- NANJING UNIVERSITY China (People's Republic of)
- University of Maryland United States
- University of Maryland, College Park United States
Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, 550, Scale (ratio), Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis, Organic chemistry, Health Effects of Air Pollution, Oceanography, UNCERTAINTIES, COAL, Atmospheric Aerosols and their Impacts, CEMENT PRODUCTION, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Physics, Fossil fuel, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Chemistry, Coal, To be checked by Faculty, Archaeology, Emissions, Physical Sciences, Cartography, China, 571, 330, DATABASE, QC1-999, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, [SDU] Sciences of the Universe [physics], COMBUSTION, Meteorology, QD1-999, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, TRENDS, [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics], Global Methane Emissions and Impacts, Environmental Science
Atmospheric Science, Atmospheric sciences, 550, Scale (ratio), Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis, Organic chemistry, Health Effects of Air Pollution, Oceanography, UNCERTAINTIES, COAL, Atmospheric Aerosols and their Impacts, CEMENT PRODUCTION, Climatology, Global and Planetary Change, Geography, Physics, Fossil fuel, Geology, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Chemistry, Coal, To be checked by Faculty, Archaeology, Emissions, Physical Sciences, Cartography, China, 571, 330, DATABASE, QC1-999, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, [SDU] Sciences of the Universe [physics], COMBUSTION, Meteorology, QD1-999, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, TRENDS, [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics], Global Methane Emissions and Impacts, Environmental Science
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