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Investigation of drought and flooding areas in coastal countries of West Africa in the context of global warming

التحقيق في مناطق الجفاف والفيضانات في البلدان الساحلية في غرب أفريقيا في سياق الاحترار العالمي
Authors: D. J. Kodja; G. M. L. D. Quenum; H. D. Koubodana; H. D. Koubodana; E. Amoussou; E. Amoussou; I. S. Akoteyon; +6 Authors

Investigation of drought and flooding areas in coastal countries of West Africa in the context of global warming

Abstract

Abstract. This study investigated drought and flooding changes in West Africa between 1983–2012 and projected near future (2025–2054) periods. The datasets used are the CHIRTS and CHIRPS-2 for observed reanalysis and five (05) models of ISIMIP2b for Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1.2-6 and SSP5-8.5). Extremely and very wet days total precipitation (R95pTOT; R99pTOT) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) were employed to investigate floods and drought spatial distribution using Sen Slope trend analysis method. The results showed that there is a variability in the spatial distribution of extreme indices with an upward and downward trend of dry and wet rainfall periods in West Africa in both historical and projected periods. This observation suggests that the study area is faced with rainfall variability marked by extreme events. A further examination on the spatial and temporal distribution of flood occurrence showed that more flood events were observed in the Gulf of Guinea and Savannah countries, followed by an increase in uniform spatial distribution and moderate wet days both under SSP1.2.6, and SSP 5.8.5. In addition, result showed that an upward trend in wet periods can cause the occurrence of extreme events associated with floods in the context of global warming. However, with these scenarios negative changes are not excluded in the East, the Sahel and some western part of the Gulf of Guinea in the study area for the SSP5.8.5 scenario. Thus, the results revealed that the spatio- temporal variability of extreme rainfall can have repercussions on the hydrological functioning of watersheds, water availability and water-dependent activities.

Country
France
Keywords

550, Climate Change and Variability Research, Precipitation, 551, Oceanography, Context (archaeology), Climate change, Psychology, GE1-350, Water Science and Technology, Climatology, QE1-996.5, Global and Planetary Change, Evapotranspiration, Geography, Ecology, Global warming, Geology, Remote sensing, FOS: Psychology, Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management, Archaeology, Physical Sciences, Physical geography, Hydrological Modeling, Flooding (psychology), Environmental science, Trend analysis, Meteorology, Machine learning, Spatial distribution, Biology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Flood myth, Watershed Simulation, Computer science, Environmental sciences, FOS: Biological sciences, Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment, Environmental Science, Psychotherapist, Climate Modeling, Precipitation Extremes

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1
Average
Average
Average
Green
gold