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Review of the most likely risks and shocks in Europe

Authors: Palencia-Esteban, Amaia; Valentini, Annaelena;

Review of the most likely risks and shocks in Europe

Abstract

This report provides a systematic review of the most likely risks and shocks in Europe. The analysis focuses on medium-term risks expected in the next 5-10 years, harmonizing findings from various reports. We use thematic and content analysis to identify recurring patterns, grouping risks into 15 unified concepts. Risks are categorized based on the frequency of mention, with more frequently cited risks considered more significant. The methodology ensures comparability despite differing frameworks and terminologies in the reports. Climate change, geopolitics, and biodiversity consistently rank as top concerns across global and European contexts. It is also noteworthy that many risks are interconnected. To better understand the intertwined risks, we focus on climate change, which stands out as a critical concern. Besides highlighting the more direct negative consequences, we showcase the complex and widespread effects across multiple areas. 

Keywords

transition performances, Climate change, just transitions, geopolitics, sustainability, climate, biodiversity, policy

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