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A Comprehensive Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Heating and Cooling Loads

تحليل مقارن شامل لنماذج التعلم الآلي للتنبؤ بأحمال التدفئة والتبريد
Authors: Eslam Mohammed Abdelkader; Abobakr Al-Sakkaf; Rasha Ahmed;

A Comprehensive Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Heating and Cooling Loads

Abstract

The continuous increase in energy consumption has brought worldwide attention to its significant environmental effect, which is triggered by the increase in greenhouse gas emissions, global warming, and rapid climate change. As such, more energy efficient buildings are required to minimize the energy consumption of heating and cooling. The present study introduces a set of machine learning-based models to predict the heating and cooling loads in buildings. This includes back-propagation artificial neural network, generalized regression neural network, radial basis neural network, radial kernel support vector machines and ANOVA kernel support vector machines. The comparisons were conducted as per mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), relative absolute error (RAE), root relative squared error (RRSE) and root-mean squared error (RMSE). The significances of the capacities of the machine learning models are evaluated using two-tailed student’s t-tests. Eventually, a holistic evaluation of the machine learning models is conducted using average ranking algorithm. Results demonstrate that the radial basis function network outperformed the afore-mentioned machine learning models significantly.

Keywords

Building Energy Efficiency and Thermal Comfort Optimization, Artificial intelligence, two-tailed student's t-test; average ranking, Electricity Price and Load Forecasting Methods, Energy Efficiency, back-propagation artificial neural network, global warming, HF5691-5716, Engineering, Machine learning, FOS: Electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Building Energy Consumption, QA299.6-433, Electricity Price Forecasting, Energy Simulation, Load Forecasting, Building and Construction, Computer science, Business mathematics. Commercial arithmetic. Including tables, etc., Energy consumption, heating and cooling, machine learning, radial basis neural network, Physical Sciences, Analysis

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    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
22
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
2
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