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Multiple linear regression model applied to the projection of electricity demand in Colombia ; Modelo de regresión lineal múltiple aplicado a la proyección de la demanda eléctrica en Colombia

Authors: García Guiliany, Jesús Enrique; De-La-Hoz-Franco, Emiro; Rodríguez Toscano, Andrés David; De la Hoz Hernández, Juan David; Hernández-Palma, Hugo G.;

Multiple linear regression model applied to the projection of electricity demand in Colombia ; Modelo de regresión lineal múltiple aplicado a la proyección de la demanda eléctrica en Colombia

Abstract

The exigencies as soon as to competitiveness and productivity have influenced in the energetic consumption and the demand of electrical energy in Colombia, reason why at the present time it is of much interest and utility to have access to tools or valid models to reach greater knowledge in which related to the possible future projections. Next, the results of a quantitative study are presented that through the analysis of data collected between 2007 and 2017 that made possible the construction of a multiple linear regression model to estimate the demand of electric energy. These types of instruments currently originate as alternatives to promote management strategies in the energy field in the country. The final results allow to visualize an estimated figure for the next periods which will serve to contrast with the official results and to generate from this information possible lines of intervention in different organisms. ; Las exigencias en cuanto a competitividad y productividad han influido en el consumo energético y la demanda de energía eléctrica en Colombia, por lo que en la actualidad es de mucho interés y utilidad tener acceso a herramientas o modelos válidos para alcanzar un mayor conocimiento en lo relacionado con Las posibles proyecciones futuras. A continuación, se presentan los resultados de un estudio cuantitativo que a través del análisis de los datos recopilados entre 2007 y 2017 eso hizo posible la construcción de un modelo de regresión lineal múltiple para estimar la demanda de energía eléctrica. Este tipo de instrumentos actualmente se originan como alternativas para promover estrategias de gestión en el campo de la energía en el país. Los resultados finales permiten visualizar una cifra estimada para el Próximos períodos que servirán para contrastar con los resultados oficiales y generar a partir de esta información posibles líneas de intervención en diferentes organismos.

Country
Colombia
Related Organizations
Keywords

Energy consumption, Electric demand, Multiple linear regression model, Consumo de energía, Demanda eléctrica, Modelo de regresión lineal múltiple

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
0
Average
Average
Average
Related to Research communities
Energy Research