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150年連続ランによる梅雨期極端降雨の将来変化と段階的適応に向けた解析 ; Analysis on Future Changes of Extreme Rainfall in Baiu Rainy Season for Stepwise Adaptation by Using 150-year Continuous Run

Name: 150年連続ランによる梅雨期極端降雨の将来変化と段階的適応に向けた解析 ; Analysis on Future Changes of Extreme Rainfall in Baiu Rainy Season for Stepwise Adaptation by Using 150-year Continuous Run
Keywords: 時間連続, 豪雨, Time-seamless, Baiu Rainfall, Climate Change, 気候変動, 適応, Heavy Rainfall, Adaptation, 梅雨

descriptionPublicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Report 01 Dec 2021 Japan Japanese Publisher:京都大学防災研究所

handle: 2433/268167

150年連続ランによる梅雨期極端降雨の将来変化と段階的適応に向けた解析 ; Analysis on Future Changes of Extreme Rainfall in Baiu Rainy Season for Stepwise Adaptation by Using 150-year Continuous Run

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Abstract

With the growing importance of taking stepwise adaptation measures to climate change, we conducted a future change analysis of rainfall during the baiu rainy season using 150-year continuous run. We analyzed two aspects about the baiu rainfall: baiu frontal zones based on average daily rainfall in July and baiu extreme rainfall based on hourly rainfall. The results show that the rainfall area gradually moves northward in both the frontal zone and location of the extreme rainfall events. The analysis of future changes in average daily rainfall by region showed that there was a marked tendency for rainfall to in-crease in northern Japan, but there were also regions that contained periods when rainfall was lower than the historical average. The reasons for this are discussed in terms of the influence of sea surface temperatures and typhoons. Furthermore, we showed that the duration of extreme rainfall events will gradually increase in the future.

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Japan

Related Organizations

Kyoto University
Japan

Keywords

時間連続, 豪雨, Time-seamless, Baiu Rainfall, Climate Change, 気候変動, 適応, Heavy Rainfall, Adaptation, 梅雨, 519.9

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