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Abstract. Output from high resolution simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are analyzed to characterize local low level jets (LLJ) over Iowa. Analyses using a detection algorithm wherein the wind speed above and below the jet maximum must be below 80 % of the jet wind speed within a vertical window of approximately 20 m–530 m a.g.l. indicate the presence of a LLJ in at least one of the 14700 4 km by 4 km grid cells over Iowa on 98 % of nights. Nocturnal LLJ are most frequently associated with stable stratification and low TKE and hence are more frequent during the winter months. The spatiotemporal mean LLJ maximum (jet core) wind speed is 9.55 ms−1 and the mean height is 182 m. Locations of high LLJ frequency and duration across the state are seasonally varying with a mean duration of 3.5 hours. LLJ are most frequent in the topographically complex northwest of the state in winter, and in the flatter northeast of the state in spring. Sensitivity of LLJ characteristics to the: i) LLJ definition and ii) vertical resolution at which the WRF output is sampled are examined. LLJ definitions commonly used in LLJ literature are considered in the first sensitivity analysis. These sensitivity analyses indicate that LLJ characteristics are highly variable with LLJ definition. Further, when the model output is down-sampled to lower vertical resolution, the maximum LLJ wind speed and mean height decrease, but spatial distributions of regions of high frequency and duration are conserved.

Abstract. Accurate estimation of the wind speed profile is crucial for a range of activities such as wind energy and aviation. The power law and the logarithmic-based profiles have been widely used as universal formulas to extrapolate the wind speed profile. However, these traditional methods have limitations in capturing the complexity of the wind flow, mainly over complex terrain. In recent years, the machine-learning techniques have emerged as a promising tool for estimating the wind speed profiles. In this study, we used the long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network and observational lidar datasets from three different sites over complex terrain to estimate the wind profile up to 230 m. Our results showed that the LSTM outperformed the power law as the distance from the surface increased. The coefficient of determination (R2) was greater than 90 % up to 100 m for input variables up to a 40 m height only. However, the performance of the model improved when the 60 m wind speed was added to the input dataset. Furthermore, we found that the LSTM model trained on one site with 40 and 60 m observational data and when applied to other sites also outperformed the power law. Our results show that the machine-learning techniques, particularly LSTM, are a promising tool for accurately estimating the wind speed profiles over complex terrain, even for short observational campaigns.

Abstract. The mid-Atlantic will experience rapid wind plant development due to its promising wind resource located near large population centers. Wind turbines and wind plants create wakes, or regions of reduced wind speed, that may negatively affect downwind turbines and plants. We evaluate wake variability and annual energy production with the first yearlong modeling assessment using the Weather Research and Forecasting model, deploying 12 MW turbines across the domain at a density of 3.14 MW km−2, matching the planned density of 3 MW km−2. Using a series of simulations with no wind plants, one wind plant, and complete build-out of lease areas, we calculate wake effects and distinguish the effect of wakes generated internally within one plant from those generated externally between plants. We also provide a first step towards uncertainty quantification by testing the amount of added turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) by 0 % and 100 %. We provide a sensitivity analysis by additionally comparing 25 % and 50 % for a short case study period. The strongest wakes, propagating 55 km, occur in summertime stable stratification, just when New England's grid demand peaks in summer. The seasonal variability of wakes in this offshore region is much stronger than the diurnal variability of wakes. Overall, yearlong simulated wake impacts reduce power output by a range between 38.2 % and 34.1 % (for 0 %–100 % added TKE). Internal wakes cause greater yearlong power losses, from 29.2 % to 25.7 %, compared to external wakes, from 14.7 % to 13.4 %. The overall impact is different from the linear sum of internal wakes and external wakes due to non-linear processes. Additional simulations quantify wake uncertainty by modifying the added amount of turbulent kinetic energy from wind turbines, introducing power output variability of 3.8 %. Finally, we compare annual energy production to New England grid demand and find that the lease areas can supply 58.8 % to 61.2 % of annual load. We note that the results of this assessment are not intended to make nor are they suitable to make commercial judgments about specific wind projects.

Abstract. Wake measurements of a scanning Doppler lidar mounted on the nacelle of a full-scale wind turbine during a wake-steering experiment were used for the characterization of the wake flow, the evaluation of the wake-steering set-up, and the validation of analytical wake models. Inflow-scanning Doppler lidars, a meteorological mast, and the supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) system of the wind turbine complemented the set-up. Results from the wake-scanning Doppler lidar showed an increase in the wake deflection with the yaw angle and that the wake deflection was not in all cases beneficial for the power output of a downstream turbine due to a bias of the inflow wind direction perceived by the yawed wind turbine and the wake-steering design implemented. Both observations could be reproduced with an analytical model that was initialized with the inflow measurements. Error propagation from the inflow measurements that were used as model input and the power coefficient of a waked wind turbine contributed significantly to the model uncertainty. Lastly, the span-wise cross section of the wake was strongly affected by wind veer, masking the effects of the yawed wind turbine on the wake cross sections.

Abstract. Large-scale integration of renewable energy sources with power-electronic converters is pushing the power system closer to its dynamic stability limit. This has increased the risk of wide-area blackouts. Thus, the changing generation profile in the power system necessitates the use of alternate sources of energy such as wind power plants, to provide black-start services in the future. However, this requires grid-forming and not the traditionally prevalent grid-following wind turbines. This paper introduces the general working principle of grid-forming control and examines four of such control schemes. To compare their performance, a simulation study has been carried out for the different stages of energization of onshore load by a high-voltage direct-current (HVDC)-connected wind power plant. Their transient behaviour during transformer inrush, converter pre-charging and de-blocking, and onshore block-load pickup has been compared and analysed qualitatively to highlight the advantages and disadvantages of each control strategy.

Abstract. The demand on wind energy for power generation will increase significantly in the next decade due to the transformation towards renewable energy production. In order to optimize the power generation of a wind farm, it is crucial to understand the flow in the wind turbine wake. The flow in the near wake close to downstream of the wind turbine (WT) is complex and highly three-dimensional. In the present study, for the first time, the SWUF-3D (Simultaneous Wind measurement with Unmanned Flight Systems in 3D) fleet of multirotor UASs (uncrewed aerial systems) is deployed for field measurements on an operating 2 MW WT in complex terrain. The UAS fleet has the potential to fill the meteorological gap of observations in the near wake with high-temporal- and high-spatial-resolution wind vector measurements plus temperature, humidity and pressure. During the experiment, the flow up- and downstream of the WT is measured simultaneously. Various flight patterns are used to investigate the near wake of the WT. The velocity deficit and the turbulence profile at different downstream distances are measured by distributed UASs which are aligned perpendicular to the flow in the near wake. The results show the expected double-Gaussian shape in the near wake under nearly stable atmospheric conditions. However, measurements in unstable atmospheric conditions with high turbulence intensity levels lead to single-Gaussian-like profiles at equal downstream distances (<1 D). Additionally, horizontal momentum fluxes and turbulence spectra are analyzed. The turbulence spectra of the wind measurement at the edge of the wake could reveal that tip vortices can be observed with the UASs.

Abstract. The interaction of large wind farm clusters with the thermally stratified atmosphere has emerged as an important physical process that impacts the productivity of wind farms. Under stable conditions, this interaction triggers atmospheric gravity waves (AGWs) in the free atmosphere due to the vertical displacement of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) by the wind farm. AGWs induce horizontal pressure gradients within the ABL that alter the wind speed distribution within the farm, influencing both wind farm power generation and wake development. Additional factors, such as the growth of an internal boundary layer originating from the wind farm entrance and increased turbulence due to the wind turbines, further contribute to wake evolution. Recent studies have highlighted the considerable computational cost associated with simulating gravity wave effects within large-eddy simulations (LESs), as a significant portion of the free atmosphere must be resolved due to the large vertical spatial scales involved. Additionally, specialized boundary conditions are required to prevent wave reflections from contaminating the solution. In this study, we introduce a novel methodology to model the effects of AGWs without extending the LES computational domain into the free atmosphere. The proposed approach addresses the wave reflection problem inherently, eliminating the need for these specialized boundary conditions. We utilize the recently developed multi-scale coupled (MSC) model of Stipa et al. (2024b) to estimate the vertical ABL displacement triggered by the wind farm, and we apply the deformation to the domain of an LES that extends only to the inversion layer. The accuracy in predicting the AGW-induced pressure gradients is equivalent to the MSC model. The AGW modeling technique is verified for two distinct free-atmosphere stability conditions by comparing it to the traditional approach in which AGWs are fully resolved using a domain that extends several kilometers into the free atmosphere. The proposed approach accurately captures AGW effects on the row-averaged thrust and power distribution of wind farms while demanding 12.7 % of the computational resources needed for traditional methods. Moreover, when conventionally neutral boundary layers are studied, there is no longer a need to solve the potential temperature equation, as stability is neutral within the boundary layer. The developed approach is subsequently used to compare the global blockage and pressure disturbances obtained from the simulated cases against a solution characterized by zero boundary layer displacement, which represents the limiting case of very strong stratification above the boundary layer. This approximation, sometimes referred to as the “rigid lid”, is compared against the full AGW solution using the MSC model. This is done for different values of inversion strength and free atmosphere lapse rate, evaluating the ability of the “rigid lid” to predict blockage, wake effects, and overall wind farm performance.