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AbstractElevated carbon-dioxide concentration [eCO2] is a key climate change factor affecting plant growth and yield. Conventionally, crop modeling work has evaluated the effect of climatic parameters on crop growth, without considering CO2. It is conjectured that a novel multimodal ensemble approach may improve the accuracy of modelled responses to eCO2. To demonstrate the applicability of a multimodel ensemble of crop models to simulation of eCO2, APSIM, CropSyst, DSSAT, EPIC and STICS were calibrated to observed data for crop phenology, biomass and yield. Significant variability in simulated biomass production was shown among the models particularly at dryland sites (44%) compared to the irrigated site (22%). Increased yield was observed for all models with the highest average yield at dryland site by EPIC (49%) and lowest under irrigated conditions (17%) by APSIM and CropSyst. For the ensemble, maximum yield was 45% for the dryland site and a minimum 22% at the irrigated site. We concluded from our study that process-based crop models have variability in the simulation of crop response to [eCO2] with greater difference under water-stressed conditions. We recommend the use of ensembles to improve accuracy in modeled responses to [eCO2].

Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have a larger battery and can replace a certain amount of conventional fossil fuels with grid electricity, which differs from the traditional hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs). The application of the onboard electrical energy significantly influences the energy utilization efficiency and thus impacts the fuel economy. In this paper, the basic PHEV operation modes are defined as pure electric driving (PED), hybrid driving charge depleting (HDCD) and hybrid driving charge sustaining (HDCS) based on the battery state of charge (SoC) profile. For a plug-in hybrid electric bus (PHEB), three different energy management strategies, which are combined with two or three of the basic operation modes, are put forward and comparatively examined based on simulation models. If some trip information can be approximately known in advance such as the trip distance and the mean power demand, the PED + HDCD + HDCS strategy comprised optimally of the PED mode, the HDCD mode and the HDCS mode would be the best energy management strategy.

AbstractThe planetary boundary framework constitutes an opportunity for decision makers to define climate policy through the lens of adaptive governance. Here, we use the DICE model to analyze the set of adaptive climate policies that comply with the two planetary boundaries related to climate change: (1) staying below a CO2 concentration of 550 ppm until 2100 and (2) returning to 350 ppm in 2100. Our results enable decision makers to assess the following milestones: (1) a minimum of 33% reduction of CO2 emissions by 2055 in order to stay below 550 ppm by 2100 (this milestone goes up to 46% in the case of delayed policies); and (2) carbon neutrality and the effective implementation of innovative geoengineering technologies (10% negative emissions) before 2060 in order to return to 350 ppm in 2100, under the assumption of getting out of the baseline scenario without delay. Finally, we emphasize the need to use adaptive path-based approach instead of single point target for climate policy design.

Abstract The improvement of thermodynamic efficiency of power plants is of great interest for the whole energy industry. The use of Kalina cycle has a great potential to improve the thermal efficiency of a nuclear power plant. This cycle uses a mixture of ammonia and water as working fluid. In this paper, we discuss the development of an Ammonia-Water mixture Property Code (AWProC). The estimation of the mixture properties are based on the Gibbs free energy functions. The code is verified and validated against experimental data available in the literature and REFPROP code. It is shown that AWProC can accurately estimate the thermodynamic properties of ammonia-water mixtures over a wide range of conditions, including high temperature and pressure regions. The code is then used to investigate the feasibility of applying the Kalina cycle to a typical Pressurizer Water Reactor (PWR) plant as an effective way to improve the plant efficiency. The fundamental of Basic-Kalina (B-K) cycle is described in detail firstly. Then, two modified configurations, Recuperation-Kalina (R-K) and Flash-Kalina (F-K) cycles respectively, are proposed for a typical 1000 MWe PWR. The simulation results indicate that the R-K type cycle can reach about 31.2% efficiency with simple equipment requirements, while the F-K type cycle can reach efficiencies up to about 34.8%, but at the expenses of a slightly more complex design. The present work demonstrates the applicability of the Kalina cycle as a way to improve the thermal efficiency of a nuclear power plant. This concept is meaningful for improving nuclear power plants economic and competitiveness.

<p>Increasing renewable energy penetrations bring complex feasibility and stability problems. Data-driven methods are applied in extracting and embedding these feasibility and stability rules in power system operations and planning. This paper presents a method of alternate support vector machine decision trees for rule extraction problems. The method has significant improvements to the classical decision-tree-based algorithms in terms of efficiency, stability and versatility. Finally, we apply the method to several power and energy system scenarios to show its effectiveness.</p>

Since its invention in 2009, Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) has attracted great attention because of its low cost, numerous options of efficiency enhancement, ease of manufacturing and high-performance. Within a short span of time, the PSC has already outperformed thin-film and multicrystalline silicon solar cells. A current certified efficiency of 25.2% demonstrates that it has the potential to replace its forerunner generations. However, to commercialize PSCs, some problems need to be addressed. The toxic nature of lead which is the major component of light absorbing layer, and inherited stability issues of fabricated devices are the major hurdles in the industrialization of this technology. Therefore, new researching areas focus on the lead-free metal halide perovskites with analogous optical and photovoltaic performances. Tin being nontoxic and as one of group IV(A) elements, is considered as the most suitable alternate for lead because of their similarities in chemical properties. Efficiencies exceeding 13% have been recorded using Tin halide perovskite based devices. This review summarizes progress made so far in this field, mainly focusing on the stability and photovoltaic performances. Role of different cations and their composition on device performances and stability have been involved and discussed. With a considerable room for enhancement of both efficiency and device stability, different optimized strategies reported so far have also been presented. Finally, the future developing trends and prospects of the PSCs are analyzed and forecasted.