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In this paper, fault prognosis of aircraft jet engines are considered using computationally intelligent-based methodologies to ensure flight safety and performance. Two different dynamic neural networks namely, the nonlinear autoregressive neural networks with exogenous input (NARX) and the Elman neural networks are developed and designed for this purpose. The proposed dynamic neural networks are designed to capture the dynamics of two main degradations in the jet engine, namely the compressor fouling and the turbine erosion. The health status and condition of the engine is then predicted subject to occurrence of these deteriorations. In both proposed approaches, two scenarios are considered. For each scenario, several neural networks are trained and their performance in predicting multi-flights ahead turbine output temperature are evaluated. Finally, the most suitable neural network for prediction is selected by using the normalized Bayesian information criterion model selection. Simulation results presented demonstrate and illustrate the effective performance of our proposed neural network-based prediction and prognosis strategies.

This paper extends the analysis of the stability of electromagnetic transient simulation algorithms to non-linear systems with switching elements and non-linear inductor branches. A theoretical analysis based on common quadratic Lyapunov function (CQLF) theory is used to investigate the stability of numerical algorithms for the simulation of lumped strictly passive switched circuits (LSPSC). It is proved that only when certain fundamental physical properties, i.e., passivity and invariance of Lyapunov energy function are satisfied, does the widely used trapezoidal method result in stable simulations of such networks for any time-step size. This is different from the simulation of linear time invariant (LTI) systems where any real world stable system has a stable simulation if an A-stable integration method (e.g., trapezoidal rule) is used. Subsequently, it is shown that the problem of simulating a piecewise linear inductor can be equivalent to simulating a LSPSC; and ergo its simulation with the trapezoidal rule is also stable.

Abstract Recharging infrastructure (RI) deployment plays a vital role in improving the public recharging availability for transport electrification. Decarbonizing transportation using low-emission electricity requires massive RI network. Even though the consumers are reluctant to purchase electric vehicles (EVs) until RIs are sufficiently placed, the investors are not willing to invest in RIs due to recharging demand uncertainties. Therefore, a scientific planning framework is needed to ensure the sustainable deployment of EV-RIs in complex networks. In this study, a lifecycle thinking-based multi-period infrastructure-planning framework is proposed to develop sustainable public EV-RIs in an urban context. This framework consists of a temporal model to find the dynamic EV-RI demands, a stochastic model to obtain travel distances, and a multi-objective optimization model to select the best desirable capacities and locations for potential EV-RIs. A case study of a typical medium-scale municipality in Canada was assessed using the proposed framework and validated using conventional infrastructure planning scenarios. The geo-processing data, regional travel behaviors, and recharging characteristics were used as model inputs. The results of the case study showed that the proposed framework can be used to estimate multi-period public recharging demands, minimize lifecycle costs, maximize service coverage and infrastructure utilization, and ensure reasonable paybacks compared to conventional planning approaches. Moreover, this framework can be used to compare different investment assistances, which are required in the early stages of the RI deployment process to encourage investors. Furthermore, government and private institutions can use this framework to identify recharging demands, permitting, and developing RIs in the long-run.

Abstract The residential sector accounts for most of energy-consumption in developing countries in the form of traditional energy. The use of commercial energy is nominal and confined mostly to urban areas where fuelwood is already monetized. A model, based on an end-use/process analysis approach, is developed on a spreadsheet, which is capable of simulating scenarios to address issues of increasing traditional energy-demand caused by population growth, sustainable supply capacity of the existing energy resources, potential for development of new and renewable energy resources, technology. This paper is divided into two parts: general energy issues and the modelling approach, and the application of this approach to Nepal in the context of fuelwood-supply sustainability.

In recent years, power quality (PQ) disturbance data are increasingly applied to extract useful information about the condition of power systems, such as monitoring incipient equipment failures. A prerequisite for such applications is the ability for a PQ monitor to detect abnormal waveforms. In response to this need, a generic method for waveform abnormality detection is proposed in this paper. The proposed method has two unique features. First, abnormalities are detected by comparing the statistical distributions of waveform variations with and without disturbances. Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD) is used to assess the difference of the distributions. An abnormality exists if the KLD is larger than a threshold. Second, current waveforms are used for detection since they are more sensitive to equipment conditions. The difficulty to set a proper threshold due to large variations of current values is overcome through the adoption of KLD as the distance measure and a systematic threshold selection scheme. The scheme maximizes the detection probability for a given false alarm probability. Field-measured data and simulated data are applied to verify the effectiveness of the method.

In this paper, we present the conjugate heat transfer analysis in a 167-kVA dry-type transformer using the parallel version of the computational fluid dynamics code Fluent 6.0. The renormalization group kappa-epsiv model is proposed to compute the turbulent aspect of the convective airflow inside the transformer metal tank for Air Natural/Air Natural cooling conditions. An experimental approach was used to assess Joule losses in the low-/high-voltage windings and eddy-current losses in the magnetic core. The resulting mathematical model was solved using 14 compute nodes on a distributed machine.

Clean-tech industry, also identified as the advanced stage of eco-friendly industry and typical high-tech, has to gain enough financial support to develop. Meanwhile, it has provided substantial market opportunities as well as investment options for venture capitalist. In an attempt to form a comprehensive understanding of VC policy preferences in clean-tech sector, relevant studies have been done by researchers from organizations, universities, and firms, from various perspectives, forming an independent “niche” research field. Based on the interactive relation between industry development and clean-tech investing, this paper performs a time-sharing, multidimensional, and dynamic review on international clean-tech policies literatures, focusing primarily on investor preferences. We aim to provide references to the lenses and methods currently used for future research including policy tool design, investment attraction effects, and policy efficiency. Moreover, the findings facilitate the innovation and expansion of related research for China, by which it can form effective financial support for domestic clean-tech industry.