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Thermoacoustic technology emerges as a sustainable and low-carbon method for energy conversion, leveraging environmentally friendly working mediums and independence from electricity. This study presents the development of a multimode heat-driven thermoacoustic system designed to utilize medium/low-grade heat sources for room-temperature cooling and heating. We constructed both a simulation model and an experimental prototype for a single-unit direct-coupled thermoacoustic system, exploring its performance in heating-only, cooling-only, and hybrid heating and cooling modes. Internal characteristic analysis including an examination of internal exergy loss and a distribution analysis of key parameters was first conducted in the hybrid cooling and heating mode. The results indicated a positive-focused traveling-wave-dominant acoustic field within the thermoacoustic core unit, enhancing energy conversion efficiency. The output system performance was subsequently tested under different working conditions in the heating-only and cooling-only modes. A maximum output heating power of 2.3 kW and a maximum COPh of 1.41 were observed in the heating-only mode. Meanwhile, a cooling power of 748 W and a COPc of 0.4 were obtained in the typical cooling condition at 7 °C when operating in cooling-only mode. These findings underscore the promising potential of thermoacoustic systems for efficiently utilizing medium/low-grade heat sources for cooling and/or heating applications in the future.

The lifetime and reliability of power transformers are primarily dependent on the hot-spot temperature in the windings, as temperature is the most important factor determining the insulation degradation rate. Key to removing the heat from the transformer is the radiator which must be carefully designed to keep the temperatures within limits under all operating conditions whilst minimizing the transformer size, weight and cost. This paper compares the analytical method used to predict the radiator performance with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models in terms of heat dissipation. It is found that the analytical method and CFD models give similar results in the air natural (AN) cooling modes, whereas the analytical method overestimates the heat dissipation in the air forced (AF) cooling modes. Moreover, the thermal conduction effect in the radiator wall is investigated under different operating conditions and for different radiator sizes using the CFD models. The simulation results indicate that the radiator wall contributes to 6%-10% of the total heat dissipation under some circumstances and therefore should not be simply ignored in radiator models.

Modelling the economics of climate change is daunting. Many existing methodologies from social and physical sciences need to be deployed, and new modelling techniques and ideas still need to be developed. Existing bread-and-butter micro- and macroeconomic tools, such as the expected utility framework, market equilibrium concepts and representative agent assumptions, are far from adequate. Four key issues—along with several others—remain inadequately addressed by economic models of climate change, namely: (1) uncertainty, (2) aggregation, heterogeneity and distributional implications (3) technological change, and most of all, (4) realistic damage functions for the economic impact of the physical consequences of climate change. This paper assesses the main shortcomings of two generations of climate-energy-economic models and proposes that a new wave of models need to be developed to tackle these four challenges. This paper then examines two potential candidate approaches—dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models and agent-based models (ABM). The successful use of agent-based models in other areas, such as in modelling the financial system, housing markets and technological progress suggests its potential applicability to better modelling the economics of climate change.

This paper proposes a novel online and self-learning algorithm to the identification of fuzzy neural networks, which not only learns the structure and parameters online but also learns the threshold parameters by itself and automatically. For structure learning, a self-constructing approach including adding neurons and merging highly similar fuzzy rules is proposed based on the criteria of the system error between actual and model output and the maximum firing strength of neurons. In order to achieve the efficient merging computing, a new calculation method of similarity degree between fuzzy rules is developed. Further and more importantly, the varying width of Gaussian membership functions can be learned by itself according to the underfitting and overfitting criteria. Similarly, different from the existing constant threshold of similarity degree for merging, the varying threshold of similarity degree can be self-learned according to the real-time accuracy of model. The proposed self-learning mechanism significantly improves the model accuracy and greatly enhances the easy usability. Several benchmark examples are implemented to illustrate the effectiveness and feasible of the proposed approach.

The accurate training of a wind power forecasting (WPF) model for a newly built wind farm is difficult because of limited historical data. This study established a multitask learning architecture wherein the WPF in different wind farms represents an independent task. Subsequently, a novel short-term WPF model based on a multitask learning architecture was proposed. In this model, a multitask Gaussian process is used to capture the intertask conjunction, which contributed to the training of each task. The proposed methodological framework employs dependencies from other tasks wherein older wind farms contain substantial historical data to enhance the performance of tasks in which there is a newly built wind farm. Several numerical experiments were conducted using datasets from seven independent wind farms in Australia. The results show that the proposed scheme not only obtains improved point forecasting results but also produces better probabilistic forecasting results, thus demonstrating the superiority of the proposed method.

The stability of winter wheat-flowering-date is crucial for ensuring consistent and robust crop performance across diverse climatic conditions. However, the impact of climate change on wheat-flowering-dates remains uncertain. This study aims to elucidate the influence of climate change on wheat-flowering-dates, predict how projected future climate conditions will affect flowering date stability, and identify the most stable wheat genotypes in the study region. We applied a multi-locus genotype-based (MLG-based) model for simulating wheat-flowering-dates, which we calibrated and evaluated using observed data from the Northern China winter wheat region (NCWWR). This MLG-based model was employed to project flowering dates under different climate scenarios. The simulated flowering dates were then used to assess the stability of flowering dates under varying allelic combinations in projected climatic conditions. Our MLG-based model effectively simulated flowering dates, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.3 days, explaining approximately 88.5 % of the genotypic variation in flowering dates among 100 wheat genotypes. We found that, in comparison to the baseline climate, wheat-flowering-dates are expected to shift earlier within the target sowing window by approximately 11 and 14 days by 2050 under the Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 (RCP4.5) and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, respectively. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that wheat-flowering-date stability is likely to be further strengthened under projected climate scenarios due to early flowering trends. Ultimately, we demonstrate that the combination of Vrn and Ppd genes, rather than individual Vrn or Ppd genes, plays a critical role in wheat-flowering-date stability. Our results suggest that the combination of Ppd-D1a with winter genotypes carrying the vrn-D1 allele significantly contributes to flowering date stability under current and projected climate scenarios. These findings provide valuable insights for wheat breeders and producers under future climatic conditions.

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National net zero emission targets could, if fully implemented, reduce best estimates of projected global average temperature increase to 2.0–2.4 °C by 2100, bringing the Paris Agreement temperature goal within reach. A total of 131 countries are discussing, have announced or have adopted net zero targets, covering 72% of global emissions. These targets could substantially lower projected warming as compared to currently implemented policies (2.9–3.2 °C) or pledges submitted to the Paris Agreement (2.4–2.9 °C). Current pledges for emissions cuts are insufficient to meet the Paris Agreement temperature goal. The wave of net zero targets being discussed and adopted could make the Paris goal possible if further countries follow suit.