• Energy Research
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The rapid development of advanced metering infrastructure provides a new data source—building electrical load profiles with high temporal resolution. Electric load profile characterization can generate useful information to enhance building energy modeling and provide metrics to represent patterns and variability of load profiles. Such characterizations can be used to identify changes to building electricity demand due to operations or faulty equipment and controls. In this study, we proposed a two-path approach to analyze high temporal resolution building electrical load profiles: (1) time-domain analysis and (2) frequency-domain analysis. The commonly adopted time-domain analysis can extract and quantify the distribution of key parameters characterizing load shape such as peak-base load ratio and morning rise time, while a frequency-domain analysis can identify major periodic fluctuations and quantify load variability. We implemented and evaluated both paths using whole-year 15-minute interval smart meter data of 188 commercial office building in Northern California. The results from these two paths are consistent with each other and complementary to represent full dynamics of load profiles. The time- and frequency-domain analyses can be used to enhance building energy modeling by: (1) providing more realistic assumptions about building operation schedules, and (2) validating the simulated electric load profiles using the developed variability metrics against the real building load data.

Abstract In an effort to minimise electricity consumption and greenhouse gases emissions, the heating, ventilation and air-conditioning sector has focused its attention on developing alternative solutions to electrically-driven vapour-compression cooling. Liquid desiccant air-conditioning systems represent an energy-efficient and more environmentally friendly alternative technology for dehumidification and cooling, particularly in those cases with high latent loads to maintain indoor air quality and comfort conditions. This technology is considered particularly efficient in hot and humid climates. As a matter of fact, the choice of the desiccant solution influences the overall performance of the system. The current paper reviews the working principle of liquid desiccant systems, focusing on the thermodynamic properties of the desiccant solutions and describes an evaluation of the reference thermodynamic properties of different desiccant solutions to identify which thermodynamic, physical, transport property influences the liquid desiccant process and to what extent. The comparison of these thermodynamic properties for the commonly used desiccants is conducted to estimate which fluid could perform most favourably in the system. The economic factors and the effect of different applications and climatic conditions on the system performance are also described. The paper is intended to be the first step in the evaluation of alternative desiccant fluids able to overcome the problems related to the use of the common desiccant solutions, such as crystallization and corrosion to metals. Ionic liquids seem a promising alternative working fluid in liquid desiccant air-conditioning systems and their characteristics and cost are discussed.

Abstract Urban planners, local authorities, and energy policymakers often develop strategic sustainable energy plans for the urban building stock in order to minimize overall energy consumption and emissions. Planning at such scales could be informed by building stock modeling using existing building data and Geographic Information System-based mapping. However, implementing these processes involves several issues, namely, data availability, data inconsistency, data scalability, data integration, geocoding, and data privacy. This research addresses the aforementioned information challenges by proposing a generalized integrated methodology that implements bottom-up, data-driven, and spatial modeling approaches for multi-scale Geographic Information System mapping of building energy modeling. This study uses the Irish building stock to map building energy performance at multiple scales. The generalized data-driven methodology uses approximately 650,000 Irish Energy Performance Certificates buildings data to predict more than 2 million buildings’ energy performance. In this case, the approach delivers a prediction accuracy of 88% using deep learning algorithms. These prediction results are then used for spatial modeling at multiple scales from the individual building level to a national level. Furthermore, these maps are coupled with available spatial resources (social, economic, or environmental data) for energy planning, analysis, and support decision-making. The modeling results identify clusters of buildings that have a significant potential for energy savings within any specific region. Geographic Information System-based modeling aids stakeholders in identifying priority areas for implementing energy efficiency measures. Furthermore, the stakeholders could target local communities for retrofit campaigns, which would enhance the implementation of sustainable energy policy decisions.

Abstract Advanced combustion engine (ACE) research is typically carried out on single-cylinder research engines. These engines are designed to tightly control fueling and conditions at intake valve closure (IVC) and to precisely measure in-cylinder conditions and emissions. However, to be able to measure and control engine operation so precisely, these research engines typically do not feature intake and exhaust tracts that resemble those in production engines, specifically in regards to turbomachinery, heat exchangers, and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) systems. For this reason, these research engines are effective for understanding in-cylinder combustion parameters such as heat release rate, burn duration, combustion efficiency, pollutant formation, and exhaust valve opening (EVO) conditions. This paper applies high fidelity simulations to determine the feasibility of achieving a chosen single cylinder engine operating point on a production type homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) engine, using a partial fuel stratification (PFS) strategy. To accomplish this, a Converge 3 dimensional (3D) – computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model of the experimental combustion chamber and intake and exhaust runners was created to simulate the experimental engine. This model was used to simulate an operating point achieved experimentally, as well as to determine the sensitivity of the operating point to variations in intake pressure, intake temperature, injection timing, injected mass, and EGR fraction. The results from these simulations were fed into a 1-dimensional engine simulation created in AVL Boost, featuring production-type intake and exhaust systems, including turbomachinery and heat exchangers necessary to create the required IVC conditions. This full engine simulation was used to assess the cycle efficiency of the engine at the experimental operating condition, and to assess whether changes to this operating point in intake temperature, intake pressure, direct injection timing, or fueling are beneficial to the cycle efficiency and engine-out emissions. In addition, the sensitivity of promising engine operating points to injection timing and injection mass are determined to evaluate the potential stability of these operating points.

Efficient integration of solar energy into the electricity mix depends on a reliable anticipation of its intermittency. A promising approach to forecast the temporal variability of solar irradiance resulting from the cloud cover dynamics is based on the analysis of sequences of ground-taken sky images or satellite observations. Despite encouraging results, a recurrent limitation of existing deep learning approaches lies in the ubiquitous tendency of reacting to past observations rather than actively anticipating future events. This leads to a frequent temporal lag and limited ability to predict sudden events. To address this challenge, we introduce ECLIPSE, a spatio-temporal neural network architecture that models cloud motion from sky images to not only predict future irradiance levels and associated uncertainties, but also segmented images, which provide richer information on the local irradiance map. We show that ECLIPSE anticipates critical events and reduces temporal delay while generating visually realistic futures. The model characteristics and properties are investigated with an ablation study and a comparative study on the benefits and different ways to integrate auxiliary data into the modelling. The model predictions are also interpreted through an analysis of the principal spatio-temporal components learned during network training. Manuscript accepted for publication in Applied Energy

Abstract The present work focuses on the numerical simulation of Moderate or Intense Low oxygen Dilution combustion condition, using the Partially-Stirred Reactor model for turbulence-chemistry interactions. The Partially-Stirred Reactor model assumes that reactions are confined in a specific region of the computational cell, whose mass fraction depends both on the mixing and the chemical time scales. Therefore, the appropriate choice of mixing and chemical time scales becomes crucial to ensure the accuracy of the numerical simulation prediction. Results show that the most appropriate choice for mixing time scale in Moderate or Intense Low oxygen Dilution combustion regime is to use a dynamic evaluation, in which the ratio between the variance of mixture fraction and its dissipation rate is adopted, rather than global estimations based on Kolmogorov or integral mixing scales. This is supported by the validation of the numerical results against experimental profiles of temperature and species mass fractions, available from measurements on the Adelaide Jet in Hot Co-flow burner. Different approaches for chemical time scale evaluation are also compared, using the species formation rates, the reaction rates and the eigenvalues of the formation rate Jacobian matrix. Different co-flow oxygen dilution levels and Reynolds numbers are considered in the validation work, to evaluate the applicability of Partially-Stirred Reactor approach over a wide range of operating conditions. Moreover, the influence of specifying uniform and non-uniform boundary conditions for the chemical scalars is assessed. The present work sheds light on the key mechanisms of turbulence-chemistry interactions in advanced combustion regimes. At the same time, it provides essential information to advance the predictive nature of computational tools used by scientists and engineers, to support the development of new technologies.

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to different forecast values. Therefore, appropriate probabilistic models that can provide accurate information for conditional forecast error distributions are of great need. On the basis of Gaussian mixture model, this paper constructs analytical conditional distributions of forecast errors for multiple wind farms with respect to forecast values. The accuracy of the proposed probabilistic models is verified by using historical data. Thereafter, a fast sampling method is proposed to generate scenarios from the conditional distributions which are non-Gaussian and interdependent. The efficiency of the proposed sampling method is verified.

This study proposed a hybrid model consisting of a characteristic time combustion (CTC) model and a closed reactor model for the combustion modelling with detailed chemistry in RCCI engines. In the light of the basic idea of the CTC model of achieving chemical equilibrium in high temperature, this hybrid model uses the CTC model to solve the species conversion and heat release in the diffusion flame. Except for the diffusion flame, the auto-ignition in RCCI combustion is computed by a closed reactor model with the CHEMKIN library by assuming that the computational cells are closed reactors. The border of the transition between the CTC model and closed reactor model is determined by two criteria, a critical temperature and a critical Damkohler number. On the formulation of this hybrid model, emphasis is placed on coupling detailed chemistry into this hybrid model. A CEQ solver for species equilibrium calculations at certain temperature, pressure was embedded with CTC for detailed chemistry calculation. Then this combustion model was integrated with the CFD framework KIVA4 and the chemical library CHEMKIN-II and validated in a RCCI engine. The predicted in-cylinder pressure and heat release rate (HRR) show a good consistency with the data from the experiment and better accuracy than that computed from the sole closed reactor model. More importantly, it is observed that this model could save computational time compared with closed reactor model due to less stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) computation. A sensitivity analysis of the critical temperature and critical Damkohler number was conducted to demonstrate the effect of these two parameters in the current model.