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A climate risk index for marine life

Authors: Boyce, Daniel; Tittensor, Derek; Garilao, Cristina; Henson, Stephanie; Kaschner, Kristen; Kesner-Reyes, Kathleen; Pigot, Alex; +6 Authors

A climate risk index for marine life

Abstract

Climate change is impacting virtually all marine life. Adaptation strategies will require a robust understanding of the risk to species and ecosystems and how those propagate to human societies. We develop a unified and spatially explicit index to comprehensively evaluate the climate risks to marine life. Under high emissions (SSP5-8.5), almost 90% of ~25,000 species are at high or critical risk, with species at risk across 85% of their native distributions. One-tenth of the ocean contains ecosystems where the aggregated climate risk, endemism, and extinction threat of their constituent species are high. Climate change poses the greatest risk for exploited species in low-income countries with high dependence on fisheries. Mitigating emissions (SSP1-2.6) reduces the risk for virtually all species (98.2%), enhances ecosystem stability, and disproportionally benefits food-insecure populations in low-income countries. Our climate risk assessment can help prioritize vulnerable species and ecosystems for climate-adapted marine conservation and fisheries management efforts.

Keywords

climate vulnerability, climate change, Climate Adaptation, FOS: Biological sciences, climate exposure, climate sensitivity, Climate change, climate risk, Climate sensitivity

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download
citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
OpenAIRE UsageCountsDownloads provided by UsageCounts
1
Average
Average
Average
15
6