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This climate change impact data (future scenarios on temperature-induced GDP losses) and climate change mitigation cost data (REMIND model scenarios) is published under doi: 10.5281/zenodo.3541809 and used in this paper: Ueckerdt F, Frieler K, Lange S, Wenz L, Luderer G, Levermann A (2018) The economically optimal warming limit of the planet. Earth System Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-741-2019 Below the individual file contents are explained. For further questions feel free to write to Falko Ueckerdt (ueckerdt@pik-potsdam.de). Climate change impact data File 1: Data_rel-GDPpercapita-changes_withCC_per-country_all-RCP_all-SSP_4GCM.csv Content: Data of relative change in absolute GDP/CAP levels (compared to the baseline path of the respective SSP in the SSP database) for each country, RCP (and a zero-emissions scenario), SSP and 4 GCMs (spanning a broad range of climate sensitivity). Negative (positive) values indicate losses (gains) due to climate change. For figure 1a of the paper, this data was aggregated for all countries. File 2: Data_rel-GDPpercapita-changes_withCC_per-country_all-SSP_4GCM_interpolated-for-REMIND-scenarios.csv Content: Data of relative change in absolute GDP/CAP levels (compared to the baseline path of the respective SSP in the SSP database) for each country, SSP and 4 GCMs (spanning a broad range of climate sensitivity). The RCP (and a zero-emissions scenario) are interpolated to the temperature pathways of the ten REMIND model scenarios used for climate change mitigation costs. Hereby the set of scenarios for climate impacts and climate change mitigation are consistent and can be combined to total costs of climate change (for a broad range of mitigation action). File 3: Data_rel-GDPpercapita-changes_withCC_per-country_SSP2_12GCM_interpolated-for-REMIND-scenarios.csv Content: Same as file 2, but only for the SSP2 (chosen default scenario for the study) and for all 12 GCMs. Data of relative change in absolute GDP/CAP levels (compared to the baseline path of the respective SSP in the SSP database) for each country, SSP-2 and 12 GCMs (spanning a broad range of climate sensitivity). The RCP (and a zero-emissions scenario) are interpolated to the temperature pathways of the ten REMIND model scenarios used for climate change mitigation costs. Hereby the set of scenarios for climate impacts and climate change mitigation are consistent and can be combined to total costs of climate change (for a broad range of mitigation action). In addition, reference GDP and population data (without climate change) for each country until 2100 was downloaded from the SSP database, release Version 1.0 (March 2013, https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/, last accessed 15Nov 2019). Climate change mitigation cost data The scenario design and runs used in this paper have first been conducted in [1] and later also used in [2]. File 4: REMIND_scenario_results_economic_data.csv File 5: REMIND_scenarios_climate_data.csv Content: A broad range of climate change mitigation scenarios of the REMIND model. File 4 contains the economic data of e.g. GDP and macro-economic consumption for each of the countries and world regions, as well as GHG emissions from various economic sectors. File 5 contains the global climate-related data, e.g. forcing, concentration, temperature. In the scenario description “FFrunxxx” (column 2), the code “xxx” specifies the scenario as follows. See [1] for a detailed discussion of the scenarios. The first dimension specifies the climate policy regime (delayed action, baseline scenarios): 1xx: climate action from 2010 5xx: climate action from 2015 2xx climate action from 2020 (used in this study) 3xx climate action from 2030 4x1 weak policy baseline (before Paris agreement) The second dimension specifies the technology portfolio and assumptions: x1x Full technology portfolio (used in this study) x2x noCCS: unavailability of CCS x3x lowEI: lower energy intensity, with final energy demand per economic output decreasing faster than historically observed x4x NucPO: phase out of investments into nuclear energy x5x Limited SW: penetration of solar and wind power limited x6x Limited Bio: reduced bioenergy potential p.a. (100 EJ compared to 300 EJ in all other cases) x6x noBECCS: unavailability of CCS in combination with bioenergy The third dimension specifies the climate change mitigation ambition level, i.e. the height of a global CO2 tax in 2020 (which increases with 5% p.a.). xx1 0$/tCO2 (baseline) xx2 10$/tCO2 xx3 30$/tCO2 xx4 50$/tCO2 xx5 100$/tCO2 xx6 200$/tCO2 xx7 500$/tCO2 xx8 40$/tCO2 xx9 20$/tCO2 xx0 5$/tCO2 For figure 1b of the paper, this data was aggregated for all countries and regions. Relative changes of GDP are calculated relative to the baseline (4x1 with zero carbon price). [1] Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R. C., Bertram, C., Kriegler, E., Meinshausen, M. and Edenhofer, O.: Economic mitigation challenges: how further delay closes the door for achieving climate targets, Environmental Research Letters, 8(3), 034033, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034033, 2013a. [2] Rogelj, J., Luderer, G., Pietzcker, R. C., Kriegler, E., Schaeffer, M., Krey, V. and Riahi, K.: Energy system transformations for limiting end-of-century warming to below 1.5 °C, Nature Climate Change, 5(6), 519–527, doi:10.1038/nclimate2572, 2015.

The data consists of annual measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass, annual aboveground net primary productivity and annual soil respiration between 1998 and 2012. Data were collected from seven European shrublands that were subject to the climate manipulations drought and warming. Sites were located in the United Kingdom (UK), the Netherlands (NL), Denmark ( two sites, DK-B and DK-M), Hungary (HU), Spain (SP) and Italy (IT). All field sites consisted of untreated control plots, plots where the plant canopy air is artificially warmed during night time hours, and plots where rainfall is excluded from the plots at least during the plants growing season. Standing aboveground plant biomass (grams biomass per square metre) was measured in two undisturbed areas within the plots using the pin-point method (UK, DK-M, DK-B), or along a transect (IT, SP, HU, NL). Aboveground net primary productivity was calculated from measurements of standing aboveground plant biomass estimates and litterfall measurements. Soil respiration was measured in pre-installed opaque soil collars bi-weekly, monthly, or in measurement campaigns (SP only). The datasets provided are the basis for the data analysis presented in Reinsch et al. (2017) Shrubland primary production and soil respiration diverge along European climate gradient. Scientific Reports 7:43952 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep43952 Standing biomass was measured using the non-destructive pin-point method to assess aboveground biomass. Measurements were conducted at the state of peak biomass specific for each site. Litterfall was measured annually using litterfall traps. Litter collected in the traps was dried and the weight was measured. Aboveground biomass productivity was estimated as the difference between the measured standing biomass in year x minus the standing biomass measured the previous year. Soil respiration was measured bi-weekly or monthly, or in campaigns (Spain only). It was measured on permanently installed soil collars in treatment plots. The Gaussen Index of Aridity (an index that combines information on rainfall and temperature) was calculated using mean annual precipitation, mean annual temperature. The reduction in precipitation and increase in temperature for each site was used to calculate the Gaussen Index for the climate treatments for each site. Data of standing biomass and soil respiration was provided by the site responsible. Data from all sites were collated into one data file for data analysis. A summary data set was combined with information on the Gaussen Index of Aridity Data were then exported from these Excel spreadsheet to .csv files for ingestion into the EIDC.

This database includes more than 100 decarbonisation innovations in Paper, Plastic, Steel and Meat & Dairy sectors, across their value chains, as well as in Finance. For each innovation there is a description, information about its contribution to decarbonisation, actors and collaborators involved, sources of funding, drivers, (co)benefits and disadvantages. More information on the method for selecting innovations for the database is available here. The database was created as part of REINVENT – a Horizon 2020 research project funded by the European Commission (grant agreement 730053). REINVENT involves five research institutions from four countries: Lund University (Sweden), Durham University (United Kingdom), Wuppertal Institute (Germany), PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (the Netherlands) and Utrecht University (the Netherlands). More information can be found on our website: www.reinvent-project.eu.

The Aneto Glacier, is the largest glacier in the Pyrenees. Its shrinkage and wastage have been continuous in recent decades, and there are signs of accelerated melting in recent years. In this study, changes in the surface and ice thickness of the Aneto Glacier from 1981 to 2022 are investigated using historical aerial imagery, airborne LiDAR point clouds, and UAV imagery. A GPR survey conducted in 2020, combined with data from photogrammetric analyses, allowed us to reconstruct the current ice thickness and also the existing ice distribution in 1981 and 2011. Over the last 41 years, the total glaciated area has shrunk by 64.7% and the ice thickness has decreased, on average, by 30.5 m. The mean remaining ice thickness in autumn 2022 was 11.9 m, as against the mean thicknesses of 32.9 m, 19.2 m reconstructed for 1981 and 2011 and 15.0 m observed in 2020 respectively. The results demonstrate the critical situation of the glacier, with an imminent segmentation into two smaller ice bodies and no evidence of an accumulation zone. We also found that the occurrence of an extremely hot and dry year, as observed in the 2021–2022 season, leads to a drastic degradation of the glacier, posing a high risk to the persistence of the Aneto Glacier, a situation that could extend to the rest of the Pyrenean glaciers in a relatively short time.

Tree cores were sampled using increment borers. At each site three trees were chosen for coring, with two or three cores taken per tree. Cores were sanded and ring widths measured based on high-resolution images of the sanded cores. Cores were cross-dated and summary statistics used to compare cross-dating accuracy. The dataset contains the resulting dated ring width series. This dataset includes tree ring width data, derived from tree cores, that were sampled from sites across the Rhön Biosphere Reserve (Germany). At each chosen site three trees were cored, with two or three cores taken per cored tree. Data was collected in August 2021.

Literature search and screening We searched for relevant literature with publication month and years Jan 2000- Nov 2022 in two databases: Web of Science (https://www.webofscience.com/; The Core Collection) and Scopus (https://www.scopus.com). We used the same nested Boolean (i.e., AND between different groups of search terms, OR within groups of similar search terms and NOT for excluding search terms) search string in the title, abstract and keywords fields for both Web of Science (TS) and Scopus (TITLE-ABS-KEY) (complete search strings in the supplementary material, Appendix S1). We targeted the relevant deer species for the boreal and temperate forests (i.e., Alces alces, Capreolus capreolus, Cervus spp., Dama dama, Odocoileus spp., Rangifer tarandus; for distribution maps, see Fig. S2), by using a combination of Latin and common names that we combined with geographical constraints based on names of biogeographical regions, countries, and states. We combined this search string with climate related variables (temperature, precipitation etc., Appendix S2). From here on, we refer to Cervus elaphus as red deer, and C. canadensis as wapiti. We refer to R. tarandus living in Europe and Asia as reindeer but as caribou when living in North America. We restrained the search by language (English) and document type (peer-reviewed papers). Our aim was to be as least exclusive as possible, but this led to some unexpected irrelevant documents. We therefore added exclusion terms to filter out non-targeted biogeographical regions and scientific fields. We did not exclude any topical part of our search because it would be impossible to make a coherent pre-emptive list of terms to exclude. The search hits from Web of Science and Scopus were merged and cleaned of duplicates, resulting in 8154 unique papers. Screening of papers was conducted using Rayyan (Ouzzani et al. 2016), a free web application for reviewing articles. Decisions on exclusion or inclusion were first made by reading the title and abstract of each article and determining their conformity to the criteria targeted by the search terms: right topic (i.e., in context of climate change), species (Cervidae excluding semi-domestic reindeer), geography (boreal and temperate zones), language (English) and type of study (new, or new synthesis of, empirical temporal data on deer response to climate). We included papers of migratory caribou residing in forest for larger parts of the year. Note that papers did not have to specify a climate change context to be included. It was sufficient that it contained temporal data on deer and weather variations. Given the controversies surrounding definitions of climate change, rather few papers proclaim having documented climate change and a stricter criterion would have excluded almost all papers. The robustness of the exclusion criteria and the individual screener divergence of the first screening were tested before the actual screening was done. Fifty randomly drawn papers were reviewed by all authors individually without conferring. The papers were randomly distributed among authors. The discrepancies were rather few (13 out of 49 papers (27%) had at least 1 person with a different opinion than the others). After discussing each of these cases in detail, the basis for coherent decision making was improved. To verify the improvement, another control procedure was applied for the remaining screening: 289 papers were each read by two to four authors. The result of this control screening showed 18 (6%) conflicting decisions. Screening of the remaining 7815 papers was done by the authors one by one and assigned equally among readers according to alphabetic order by the first author of the papers. The first screening finally generated 556 papers possibly relevant for the review. All papers with conflicting decisions in the test and control screenings were included among the 556. The possibly relevant papers were then equally divided between the authors. These papers were read completely and again scrutinized for conformation to criteria, resulting in a final list of 218 papers relevant for review. Data from these papers were then tabulated and systemized per demographics (species, location, season, etc.), deer responses and climate factor. Further details on this data collection are specified in Appendix S3. The table here in Dryad includes the detailed tabulations used to produce Table 1, Figure 1, Figure in the main article, and Table S3 in the Appendix.  Climate change causes far-reaching disruption in nature, where tolerance thresholds already have been exceeded for some plants and animals. In the short-term, deer may respond to climate through individual physiological and behavioral responses. Over time, individual responses can aggregate to the population level and ultimately lead to evolutionary adaptations. We systematically reviewed literature (published 2000-2022) to summarize the effect of temperature, rainfall, snow, combined measures (e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation) and extreme events, on deer species inhabiting boreal and temperate forests in terms of their physiology, spatial use and population dynamics. We targeted deer species which inhabit relevant biomes in North America, Europe and Asia: moose, roe deer, elk, red deer, sika deer, fallow deer, white-tailed deer, mule deer, caribou and reindeer. Our review (218 papers) shows that many deer populations will likely benefit in-part from warmer winters, but hotter and drier summers may exceed their physiological tolerances. We found support for deer expressing both morphological, physiological, and behavioral plasticity in response to climate variability. For example, some deer species can limit the effects of harsh weather conditions by modifying habitat use and daily activity patterns, while the physiological responses of female deer can lead to long-lasting effects on population dynamics. We identified 20 patterns, among which some illustrate antagonistic pathways, suggesting that detrimental effects will cancel out some of the benefits of climate change. Our findings highlight the influence of local variables (eg. population density and predation) for how deer will respond to climatic conditions. We identified several knowledge gaps, such as studies regarding the potential impact on these animals of extreme weather events, snow type and wetter autumns. The patterns we have identified in this literature review should help managers understand how populations of deer may be affected by regionally projected futures regarding temperature, rainfall and snow. # Literature review protocol: Climate change and deer in boreal and temperate regions [https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.jh9w0vtmd](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.jh9w0vtmd) ## Description of the data and file structure We systematically reviewed literature (published 2000-2022) to summarize the effect of temperature, rainfall, snow, combined measures (e.g., the North Atlantic Oscillation) and extreme events, on deer species inhabiting boreal and temperate forests in terms of their physiology, spatial use and population dynamics. We targeted deer species which inhabit relevant biomes in North America, Europe and Asia: moose, roe deer, elk, red deer, sika deer, fallow deer, white-tailed deer, mule deer, caribou and reindeer. After screening, 218 articles remained. The data made available here pertains to these articles. ### Files and variables #### File: Felton\_et\_al\_2024\_GCB\_Protocol\_literature\_review\_Dryad 30 aug no hidden columns.xlsx **Description:** protocol for tabulating relevant information from published literature. ##### Variables * Column B-G: Climatic variables that the studies assessed (temperature, rainfall, snow, combined measures, extreme climatic events) * Column H: animal species * Column I: extreme events * Column K-AF: registration whether information is presented that relate to the three larger topics of the review (Physiology, Spatial use, Population dynamics) and to any of the 20 Patterns Found, which are summarised in Table 2 in the main article. Abbreviations refer to details of such patterns, which are explained in the heading of Table 2 in the main article. * Blank cells = no relevant information exist. Data was derived from the following sources: * We searched for relevant literature with publication month and years Jan 2000- Nov 2022 in two databases: Web of Science ([https://www.webofscience.com/](https://www.webofscience.com/); The Core Collection) and Scopus ([https://www.scopus.com](https://www.scopus.com/)).

[ES] Se ha aplicado la clasificación de tipos de tiempo (Weather Types) de Jenkinson y Collison a la malla de presiones diaria del reanálisis NCAR-NCEP (periodo Enero 1950-Diciembre 2023) correspondiente a la Península Ibérica y Baleares. Por la resolución de dicha malla (2.5º x 2.5º lat/long) el total de nodos de control es de 12. Los tipos de tiempo resultantes incluyen los 8 direccionales puros, Anticiclónico y Ciclónico puro, y la combinación de 8 tipos híbridos entre las categorías previas. Los casos indeterminados fueron distribuidos proporcionalmente entre las clases previas. [EN] It has been applied the Jenkinson & Collison classification of Weather Types to Iberian Peninsula and Balearic Island by using the daily NCAR-NCEP grid surface pressure dataset (January-1950/December-2023). Grid resolution/2.5ºx2.5 lat/long) produces 12 series. Weather Types classification includes 8 directional pure, Anticyclonic and Cyclonic pure types, and combination of previous ones in the hybrid types. Non determines cases were spread homogeneously. [EN] WETYDAS contains 12 TXT archives localized by their coordinates in NCAR grid; information include year, month, day and code of weathee type. [ES] WETYDAS consta de 12 archivos formato TXT geolocalizados por sus coordenadas en la malla NCAR; la información incluye el año, mes y día, así como el código del tipo de tiempo resultante.

Herbivory assessments were made at the plant community and species levels. We focused on three plant species with a widespread occurrence across the temperature gradient: cuckooflower (Cardamine pratensis, Linnaeus), common mouse-ear (Cerastium fontanum, Baumgerten), and marsh violet (Viola palustris, Linnaeus). For assessments of invertebrate herbivory at the species level, thirty individuals per species of C. pratensis, C. fontanum, and V. palustris were marked in each of ten plots, using a stratified random sampling method where individuals were randomly selected, but the full range of within-plot soil temperatures was represented. For assessments of invertebrate herbivory at the community level, five 50 × 50 cm quadrats were marked at random points in eight of the plots that best captured the full temperature gradient. The community-level herbivory assessment was conducted on 19th June. The number of damaged plants was recorded out of 100 random individuals, selected using a 10 × 10 grid within each 50 × 50 cm quadrat. For the species-level herbivory assessment, individual marked plants were surveyed for signs of invertebrate herbivory every two weeks from 30th May to 2nd July, generating three time-points per species. At each survey, all marked individuals for each species were assessed within a 48-hour period. Plants were recorded as damaged or not damaged by invertebrate herbivores at each time-point. Further details of how phenological stage of development, vegetation community composition, soil temperature, moisture, pH, nitrate, ammonium, and phosphate were recorded are provided in the supporting documentation. This is a dataset of environmental data, vegetation cover, and community- and species-level invertebrate herbivory, sampled at 14 experimental soil plots in the Hengill geothermal valley, Iceland, from May to July 2017. The plots span a temperature gradient of 5-35 °C on average over the sampling period, yet they occur within 1 km of each other and have similar soil moisture, pH, nitrate, ammonium, and phosphate.

# sRGB Reflectances from Iberian butterflies [https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.1g1jwsv0q](https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.1g1jwsv0q) Data on wing reflectance (visible spectrum, mean standard RGB values (243.7= white, to 52= black) from 224 species of butterflies (Lepidoptera, Papilionoidea): 223 from the Iberian Peninsula and one (*C. webbianus*) from the Canaries. Average of male and female, sample size as indicated in column n. The data from *C. webbianus* and *C. marshalli* were not included in our analyses of reflectance. Text file, CSV format, columns delimited by periods, 225 rows (including headings) and 38 columns. Any means presented are weighted averages taking into account the areas of the parts involved. Wing reflectances refer to the parts of the wings exposed in a living butterfly (except FW\_AREA and HW\_AREA which are total wing surfaces). * **Ord**, row number (roughly a taxonomic arrangement) * **Species**, species name (abbreviated genus, contains a blank space, e.g., *Heteropterus morpheus*) * **N**, sample size * **FWL**, forewing length (mm) * **DFT**, reflectance, dorsal forewing * **DFp**, reflectance, dorsal forewing, proximal area * **DFd**, reflectance, dorsal forewing, distal area * **DHT**, reflectance, dorsal hindwing * **DHp**, reflectance, dorsal hindwing, proximal area * **DHd**, reflectance, dorsal hindwing, distal area * **DB**, reflectance, dorsal body area * **D(Tp+B)**, reflectance of the exposed dorsal body plus proximal wing surfaces * **DT**, reflectance of the dorsal areas (body plus whole wing) * **DTp**, reflectance of the dorsal, proximal wing areas * **DTd**, reflectance of the dorsal, distal wing areas * **VFT**, reflectance, ventral forewing * **VFp**, reflectance, ventral forewing, proximal area * **VFd**, reflectance, ventral forewing, distal area * **VHT**, reflectance, ventral hindwing * **VHp**, reflectance, ventral hindwing, proximal area * **VHd**, reflectance, ventral hindwing, distal area * **VB**, reflectance, ventral body area * **V(Tp+B)**, reflectance of the exposed ventral body plus proximal wing surfaces * **VT**, reflectance of the ventral areas (body plus whole wing) * **VTp**, reflectance of the ventral, proximal wing areas * **VTd**, reflectance of the ventral, distal wing areas * **Mean**, mean total reflectance (dorsal and ventral surfaces) * **p\_Mean**, mean reflectance of the proximal (dorsal and ventral) wing areas * **p\_Otimum**, mean reflectance of the proximal dorsal (for dorsal baskers) or ventral (for lateral basking species) wing areas. * **FW\_area**, total forewing area (mm2) * **HW\_area**, total hindwing area (mm2) * **T\_Mean\_Iberia\_10km**, Iberian mean species temperature, Centigrade degrees, 10 x 10 km resolution * **P\_Mean\_Iberia\_10km**, mean species annual precipitation, mm, Iberian Peninsula, 10 x 10 km resolution * **T\_Mean\_Ibera\_50km**, mean species temperature, Centigrade degrees, Iberian Peninsula, 50 x 50 km resolution * **P\_Mean\_Iberia\_50km**, mean species annual precipitation, mm, Iberian Peninsula, 50 x 50 km resolution Data on wing reflectance (visible spectrum, mean standard RGB values (243.7= white, to 52= black) from 224 species of butterflies (Lepidoptera, Papilionoidea): 223 from the Iberian Peninsula and one (Cyclyrius webbianus) from the Canary Islands. Average of male and female, sample size as indicated in column n. The data from C. webbianus and Cacyreus marshalli are provided although these species were not included in our analyses of reflectance. The data were measured from digital images of set (collection) specimens taken in fixed conditions, with grey (average RGB) values standardized a posteriori to fit the scale white= 243.7= white, to black= 52. The data set includes the mean length of the forewing (mm) and the total areas (mm2) of the fore and hind wings.