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Sourcing overseas biomass for EU ambitions: assessing net sustainable export potential from various sourcing countries

Sourcing overseas biomass for EU ambitions: assessing net sustainable export potential from various sourcing countries (Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining, (2019), 13, 2, (293-324), 10.1002/bbb.1853)
Authors: Thuy Mai‐Moulin; Lotte Visser; Kevin R. Fingerman; Wolter Elbersen; Berien Elbersen; Gert‐Jan Nabuurs; Uwe R. Fritsche; +10 Authors

Sourcing overseas biomass for EU ambitions: assessing net sustainable export potential from various sourcing countries

Abstract

AbstractLow‐cost sustainable biomass availability in the European Union may not be able to meet increasing demand; exploring the option of importing biomass is therefore imperative for the years to come. This article assesses sustainable biomass export potential from Brazil, Colombia, Indonesia, Kenya, Ukraine, and the United States by applying a number of sustainability criteria. Only biomass types with the highest potential are selected, to take advantage of economies of scale, e.g. pulpwood, wood waste, and residues in the United States, and agricultural residues in Ukraine. This study found that, except for the United States, pellet markets in the sourcing regions are largely undeveloped. The export potential depends strongly on pellet mill capacity and assumed growth rates in the pellet industry. Results show that the United States, Ukraine, Indonesia, and Brazil offer the highest biomass export potential. In the Business As Usual 2030 scenario, up to 204 PJ could potentially be mobilized; in the High Export scenario this could increase to 1423 PJ, with 89% of the potential being available for costs ranging from 6.4 to 15 €/GJ. These potentials meet the European Commission requirements for a 70% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions set in the Renewable Energy Directive. The total export potentials do not reflect the net possible import potentials to the European Union, as biomass could be imported to other countries where there is a demand for it, where less strict sustainability requirements are applied, and which are proximate to the sourcing regions, notably South Korea, Japan, and China. © 2018 The Authors. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Country
Netherlands
Keywords

Alterra - Earth informatics, Earth Observation and Environmental Informatics, Bos- en Landschapsecologie, Bioengineering, wood pellet price, forest and landscape ecology, Aardobservatie en omgevingsinformatica, Alterra - Vegetation, sustainability criteria, Alterra - Vegetatie, sustainable biomass potential, Forest and Landscape Ecology, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Renewable Energy, sourcing country, Vegetatie, Earth Informatics, supply chain analysis, Vegetation, Sustainability and the Environment, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, FBR BP Biorefinery & Sustainable Value Chains, PE&RC, GHG emissions, biomass trade, BBP Biorefinery & Sustainable Value Chains, energy policy, bos- en landschapsecologie

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    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
23
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
hybrid