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Ecological Applications
Article . 2020 . Peer-reviewed
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How does increasing mast seeding frequency affect population dynamics of seed consumers? Wild boar as a case study

Authors: Touzot, Laura; Schermer, Éliane; Venner, Samuel; Delzon, Sylvain; Rousset, Cyril; Baubet, Eric; Gaillard, Jean-Michel; +1 Authors

How does increasing mast seeding frequency affect population dynamics of seed consumers? Wild boar as a case study

Abstract

AbstractMast seeding in temperate oak populations shapes the dynamics of seed consumers and numerous communities. Mast seeding responds positively to warm spring temperatures and is therefore expected to increase under global warming. We investigated the potential effects of changes in oak mast seeding on wild boar population dynamics, a widespread and abundant consumer species. Using long‐term monitoring data, we showed that abundant acorn production enhances the proportion of breeding females. With a body‐mass‐structured population model and a fixed hunting rate of 0.424, we showed that high acorn production over time would lead to an average wild boar population growth rate of 1.197 whereas non‐acorn production would lead to a stable population. Finally, using climate projections and a mechanistic model linking weather data to oak reproduction, we predicted that mast seeding frequency might increase over the next century, which would lead to increase in both wild boar population size and the magnitude of its temporal variation. Our study provides rare evidence that some species could greatly benefit from global warming thanks to higher food availability and therefore highlights the importance of investigating the cascading effects of changing weather conditions on the dynamics of wild animal populations to reliably assess the effects of climate change.

Keywords

[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 570, Resource budget model, Swine, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Climate Change, Population Dynamics, Sus scrofa, 630, Spring temperatures, Quercus, Climate projections, [SDE.ES] Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society, Climate change, Animals, [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society, Mast, [SDE.BE] Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology, [SDE.MCG] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Demographic population model, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Seeds, Female, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
50
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%