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Ecology and Evolution
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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Survival rates in the world's southernmost forest bird community

Authors: Erik M. Sandvig; Claudio S. Quilodrán; Tomás A. Altamirano; Francisco Aguirre; Omar Barroso; Juan Rivero de Aguilar; Michael Schaub; +3 Authors

Survival rates in the world's southernmost forest bird community

Abstract

AbstractThe Magellanic sub‐Antarctic Forest is home to the world's southernmost avian community and is the only Southern Hemisphere analogue to Northern Hemisphere temperate forests at this latitude. This region is considered among the few remaining pristine areas of the world, and shifts in environmental conditions are predominantly driven by climate variability. Thus, understanding climate‐driven demographic processes is critical for addressing conservation issues in this system under future climate change scenarios. Here, we describe annual survival patterns and their association with climate variables using a 20‐year mark–recapture data set of five forest bird species in the Cape Horn Biosphere Reserve. We develop a multispecies hierarchical survival model to jointly explore age‐dependent survival probabilities at the community and species levels in a group of five forest passerines. At the community level, we assess the association of migratory behavior and body size with survival, and at the species level, we investigate the influence of local and regional climatic variables on temporal variations of survival. We found a positive effect of precipitation and a negative effect of El Niño Southern Oscillation on juvenile survival in the white‐crested Elaenia and a consistent but uncertain negative effect of temperature on survival in juveniles and 80% of adults. We found only a weak association of climate variables with survival across species in the community and no temporal trends in survival for any of the species in either age class, highlighting apparent stability in these high austral latitude forests. Finally, our findings provide an important resource of survival probabilities, a necessary input for assessing potential impacts of global climate change in this unique region of the world.

Countries
Chile, United States
Keywords

capture-mark-recapture, 13 Climate Action, 570, 15 Vida de ecosistemas terrestres, forest birds, 15 Life on Land, multispecies CJS model, 590, 14 Life Below Water, survival, climate change, 14 Vida submarina, 13 Acción por el clima, Patagonia, hierarchical model, patagonia, Research Articles

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    popularity
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    Top 10%
    influence
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    impulse
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
2
Top 10%
Average
Average
Green
gold