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Ecology and Evolution
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Integrating natural gradients, experiments, and statistical modeling in a distributed network experiment: An example from the WaRM Network

Authors: Case M. Prager; Aimee T. Classen; Maja K. Sundqvist; Maria Noelia Barrios‐Garcia; Erin K. Cameron; Litong Chen; Chelsea Chisholm; +20 Authors

Integrating natural gradients, experiments, and statistical modeling in a distributed network experiment: An example from the WaRM Network

Abstract

AbstractA growing body of work examines the direct and indirect effects of climate change on ecosystems, typically by using manipulative experiments at a single site or performing meta‐analyses across many independent experiments. However, results from single‐site studies tend to have limited generality. Although meta‐analytic approaches can help overcome this by exploring trends across sites, the inherent limitations in combining disparate datasets from independent approaches remain a major challenge. In this paper, we present a globally distributed experimental network that can be used to disentangle the direct and indirect effects of climate change. We discuss how natural gradients, experimental approaches, and statistical techniques can be combined to best inform predictions about responses to climate change, and we present a globally distributed experiment that utilizes natural environmental gradients to better understand long‐term community and ecosystem responses to environmental change. The warming and (species) removal in mountains (WaRM) network employs experimental warming and plant species removals at high‐ and low‐elevation sites in a factorial design to examine the combined and relative effects of climatic warming and the loss of dominant species on community structure and ecosystem function, both above‐ and belowground. The experimental design of the network allows for increasingly common statistical approaches to further elucidate the direct and indirect effects of warming. We argue that combining ecological observations and experiments along gradients is a powerful approach to make stronger predictions of how ecosystems will function in a warming world as species are lost, or gained, in local communities.

Countries
Singapore, United States, France, Argentina, Sweden, Argentina, Switzerland, Denmark
Keywords

GRASSLAND, [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio], elevational gradients, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, CLIMATE CHANGE, Science::Geology, Evolutionary biology, COMMUNITY COMPOSITION, Ecological applications, FUNCTIONAL DIVERSITY, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6, Elevational Gradients, TEMPERATURE, QH540-549.5, Research Articles, CLIMATE-CHANGE, Ecology, mountains, alpine plant communities; climate change; elevational gradients; global change; mountains; warming, ECOSYSTEM PROPERTIES, Biological sciences, MOUNTAINS, climate change, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, SOIL RESPIRATION, 570, 330, warming, Science, alpine plant communities, :Geology [Science], 530, 333, WARMING, GLOBAL CHANGE, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1, global change, Ekologi, 500, Alpine Plant Communities, Climate Science, Environmental sciences, ELEVATIONAL GRADIENTS, FOS: Biological sciences, ALPINE PLANT COMMUNITIES, PLANT TRAITS, Klimatvetenskap, RESPONSES

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    5
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Average
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
5
Average
Average
Top 10%
Green
gold