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Developing multiscale and integrative nature–people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework

تطوير سيناريوهات متعددة المستويات وتكاملية لطبيعة الناس باستخدام إطار الطبيعة المستقبلي
Authors: Grigoriy Kolomytsev; Nicholas King; Ramon Pichs; Kathryn K. Davies; Federica Ravera; Sana Okayasu; Paul Leadley; +32 Authors

Developing multiscale and integrative nature–people scenarios using the Nature Futures Framework

Abstract

Abstract Scientists have repeatedly argued that transformative, multiscale global scenarios are needed as tools in the quest to halt the decline of biodiversity and achieve sustainability goals. As a first step towards achieving this, the researchers who participated in the scenarios and models expert group of the Intergovernmental Science‐Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) entered into an iterative, participatory process that led to the development of the Nature Futures Framework (NFF). The NFF is a heuristic tool that captures diverse, positive relationships of humans with nature in the form of a triangle. It can be used both as a boundary object for continuously opening up more plural perspectives in the creation of desirable nature scenarios and as an actionable framework for developing consistent nature scenarios across multiple scales. Here we describe the methods employed to develop the NFF and how it fits into a longer term process to create transformative, multiscale scenarios for nature. We argue that the contribution of the NFF is twofold: (a) its ability to hold a plurality of perspectives on what is desirable, which enables the development of joint goals and visions and recognizes the possible convergence and synergies of measures to achieve these visions and (b), its multiscale functionality for elaborating scenarios and models that can inform decision‐making at relevant levels, making it applicable across specific places and perspectives on nature. If humanity is to achieve its goal of a more sustainable and prosperous future rooted in a flourishing nature, it is critical to open up a space for more plural perspectives of human–nature relationships. As the global community sets out to develop new goals for biodiversity, the NFF can be used as a navigation tool helping to make diverse, desirable futures possible. A free Plain Language Summary can be found within the Supporting Information of this article.

Countries
Spain, Netherlands, Argentina, Italy, Spain, Argentina, Netherlands, Netherlands, Netherlands, Germany
Keywords

Ecological Rewilding and Conservation Ethics, Futures studies, Artificial intelligence, PPO/PRI Agrosysteemkunde, Vision, Knowledge management, Environmental Systems Analysis Group, 710, HM, Sustainability Transitions, Biodiversity conservation, Agrosysteemkunde, Negotiation, Engineering, Sociology, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6, Sustainable development, values, Business, NATURE, Leerstoelgroep Milieusysteemanalyse, QH540-549.5, biodiversity, Marketing, Global and Planetary Change, GE, Global Analysis of Ecosystem Services and Land Use, Ecology, VALUES, Public Administration and Policy, Pedagogy, scenarios, Social science, GF, SCENARIOS, FOS: Sociology, FOS: Philosophy, ethics and religion, Sustainability, Human ecology. Anthropogeography, Milieusysteemanalyse, Physical Sciences, Human-Nature Interactions, biodiversity; futures; IPBES; models; nature; scenarios; values, 330, MODELS, Transformative learning, Scenario planning, Agrosystems Research, Boundary object, FOS: Economics and business, models, GF1-900, Leerstoelgroep Bestuurskunde, Desenvolupament sostenible, IPBES, Sustainability Transitions and Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems, https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1, Biology, FUTURES, Nature and Landscape Conservation, futures, nature, Linguistics, Computer science, Plural, Management science, Process (computing), Biodiversitat -- Conservació, Philosophy, Operating system, Environmental Systems Analysis, Futures contract, FOS: Biological sciences, Anthropology, Environmental Science, FOS: Languages and literature, BIODIVERSITY, Bestuurskunde, Process management, Finance

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popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
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impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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