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Making Adaptation Decisions Under Uncertainty: Lessons from Theory and Practice
Adaptation practice is a novel and dynamic field. This is reflected by an as yet limited experience in how climate change uncertainties can be best dealt with in particular situations. This chapter synthesises the theoretical (scientific) and practical aspects of the preceding chapters, draws key lessons and provides guidance for those involved in supporting and ultimately making adaptation decisions. For this purpose a Common Frame of Reference (i.e. common definitions, principles and understandings) for dealing with uncertainties in climate adaptation decision-making is presented and applied to the analysis of the twelve real-life cases presented in this book. This framework intends to support complex climate adaptation decision-making processes that have to deal with uncertainties and still make informed decisions. Two central questions were addressed and applied to the cases reported: (i) how did the approaches used to deal with climate uncertainty influence the adaptation decision-making process and (ii) have better informed adaptation decisions been made because uncertainties were conscientiously addressed? The objective of this chapter is not to provide a simple checklist to be followed when facing uncertainties in a climate adaptation process but rather to inform and guide the reader by presenting key lessons and insights from real-life cases where decision-makers and those that support them have already faced and responded to climate adaptation related uncertainty.
- University of Lisbon Portugal
- Wageningen University & Research Netherlands
Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Climate Resilience, Klimaatbestendigheid, Climate Change, Alterra - Klimaatverandering en adaptief land- en watermanagement, Life Science, Alterra - Climate change and adaptive land and water management, Klimaatverandering en adaptief land- en watermanagement, Klimaatverandering
Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Climate Resilience, Klimaatbestendigheid, Climate Change, Alterra - Klimaatverandering en adaptief land- en watermanagement, Life Science, Alterra - Climate change and adaptive land and water management, Klimaatverandering en adaptief land- en watermanagement, Klimaatverandering
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).4 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Average influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
