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Stage-specific heat effects: timing and duration of heat waves alter demographic rates of a global insect pest

pmid: 26255274
The frequency and duration of periods with high temperatures are expected to increase under global warming. Thus, even short-lived organisms are increasingly likely to experience periods of hot temperatures at some point of their life-cycle. Despite recent progress, it remains unclear how various temperature experiences during the life-cycle of organisms affect demographic traits. We simulated hot days (daily mean temperature of 30 °C) increasingly experienced under field conditions and investigated how the timing and duration of such hot days during the life cycle of Plutella xylostella affects adult traits. We show that hot days experienced during some life stages (but not all) altered adult lifespan, fecundity, and oviposition patterns. Importantly, the effects of hot days were contingent on which stage was affected, and these stage-specific effects were not always additive. Thus, adults that experience different temporal patterns of hot periods (i.e., changes in timing and duration) during their life-cycle often had different demographic rates and reproductive patterns. These results indicate that we cannot predict the effects of current and future climate on natural populations by simply focusing on changes in the mean temperature. Instead, we need to incorporate the temporal patterns of heat events relative to the life-cycle of organisms to describe population dynamics and how they will respond to future climate change.
- State Key Laboratory of Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests China (People's Republic of)
- Institute of Plant Protection China (People's Republic of)
- Rice University United States
- Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences China (People's Republic of)
- State Key Laboratory of Biology of Plant Diseases and Insect Pests China (People's Republic of)
Life Cycle Stages, Hot Temperature, Climate Change, Oviposition, Reproduction, Population Dynamics, Moths, Fertility, Animals, Female
Life Cycle Stages, Hot Temperature, Climate Change, Oviposition, Reproduction, Population Dynamics, Moths, Fertility, Animals, Female
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).76 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
