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Horizon / Pleins textes
Other literature type . 2004
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Advances in Water Resources
Article . 2004 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
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Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming

Authors: Labat, David; Goddéris, Yves; Probst, Jean-Luc; Guyot, Jean-Loup;

Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming

Abstract

Ongoing global climatic change initiated by the anthropogenic release of carbon dioxide is a matter of intense debate. We focus both on the impact of these climatic changes on the global hydrological cycle and on the amplitude of the increase of global and continental runoff over the last century, in relation to measured temperature increases. In this contribution, we propose an original statistical wavelet-based method for the reconstruction of the monthly discharges of worldwide largest rivers. This method provides a data-based approximation of the evolution of the annual continental and global runoffs over the last century. A consistent correlation is highlighted between global annual temperature and runoff, suggesting a 4% global runoff increase by 1 °C global temperature rise. However, this global trend should be qualified at the regional scale where both increasing and decreasing trends are identified. North America runoffs appear to be the most sensitive to the recent climatic changes. Finally, this contribution provides the first experimental data-based evidence demonstrating the link between the global warming and the intensification of the global hydrological cycle. This corresponds to more intense evaporation over oceans coupled to continental precipitation increase or continental evaporation decrease. This process finally leads to an increase of the global continental runoff.

Country
France
Keywords

environment/Bioclimatology, 550, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Wavelet analysis, 1900 2000, [SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, Climate change, Global runoff-temperature relatioship, ECOULEMENT, Milieux et Changements globaux, TEMPERATURE, RECHAUFFEMENT CLIMATIQUE, ANALYSE STATISTIQUE, VARIATION SECULAIRE, CYCLE HYDROLOGIQUE, DEBIT, EVAPORATION, VARIATION ANNUELLE, [SDE.MCG] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, COURS D'EAU, [SDV.EE.BIO] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, environment/Bioclimatology, [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, [SDV.EE.BIO]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Ecology, PRECIPITATION, FACTEUR CLIMATIQUE, CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE, Climatologie, Bioclimatologie

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
views
OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
downloads
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521
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6
120
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bronze