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Adaptation of thermal power plants: The (ir)relevance of climate (change) information

When does climate change information lead to adaptation? We analyze thermal power plant adaptation by means of investing in water-saving (cooling) technology to prevent a decrease in plant efficiency and load reduction. A comprehensive power plant investment model, forced with downscaled climate and hydrological projections, is then numerically solved to analyze the adaptation decisions of a selection of real power plants. We find that operators that base their decisions on current climatic conditions are likely to make identical choices and perform just as well as operators that are fully ‘informed’ about climate change. Where electricity supply is mainly generated by thermal power plants, heat waves, droughts and low river flow may impact electricity supply for decades to come.
- International Monetary Fund United States
- International Monetary Fund United States
- Wageningen University & Research Netherlands
- University of Groningen Netherlands
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis Austria
330, OPTION VALUES, IMPACT, 333, RESOURCE, Real options, Thermal power plants, WATER, Climate change, Adaptation, TEMPERATURE, GENERATION
330, OPTION VALUES, IMPACT, 333, RESOURCE, Real options, Thermal power plants, WATER, Climate change, Adaptation, TEMPERATURE, GENERATION
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).12 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Average
