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Energy
Article . 2015 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
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China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production

Authors: Höök Mikael; Lianyong Feng; Xu Tang; Mohr Steve; Tverberg E. Gail; Jianliang Wang;

China's unconventional oil: A review of its resources and outlook for long-term production

Abstract

Due to the expected importance of unconventional oil in China's domestic oil supply, this paper first investigates the four types of China's unconventional oil resources comprehensively: heavy and extraheavy oil, oil sands, broad tight oil and kerogen oil. Our results show that OIP (Oil-in-Place) of these four types of resources amount to 19.64 Gt, 5.97 Gt, 25.74 Gt and 47.64 Gt respectively, while TRRs (technically recoverable resources) amount to 2.24 Gt, 2.26 Gt, 6.95 Gt and 11.98 Gt respectively. Next, the Geologic Resources Supply-Demand Model is used to quantitatively project the long-term production of unconventional oil under two resource scenarios (TRR scenario and Proved Reserve þ Cumulative Production scenario). Our results indicate that total unconventional oil production will peak in 2068 at 0.351 Gt in TRR scenario, whereas peak year and peak production of PR (proved reserves) þ CP (Cumulative Production) scenario are 2023 and 0.048 Gt, significantly earlier and lower than those of TRR scenario. The implications of this growth in production of unconventional oil for China are also analyzed. The results show that if the TRR scenario can be achieved, it will increase total supply and improve oil security considerably. However, achieving the production in TRR scenario has many challenges, and even if it is achieved, China will still need to rely on imported oil.

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    115
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
115
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 10%