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Biased perceptions of other people's attitudes to carbon taxation

Authors: Drews, Stefan; Savin, Ivan; van den Bergh, Jeroen C.J.M.;

Biased perceptions of other people's attitudes to carbon taxation

Abstract

Beliefs about other people's opinions on climate change influence one's own opinion. Such beliefs can, however, suffer from biases in perception. Using two nationally representative surveys, we examine this issue in a new context, namely of carbon-tax acceptance in Spain. We find that the more one expects the tax to be accepted by others, the more one accepts it personally. But opponents of a carbon tax tend to strongly overestimate the prevalence of their opinion, i.e. they exhibit a so-called false consensus effect. In contrast, despite holding the majority view, tax supporters somewhat underestimate the prevalence of their own view, which is known as pluralistic ignorance. We further test the role of information provision by providing participants with different percentages of people accepting the tax. Overall, we find little evidence that such information provision significantly increases tax acceptance. The impact of information provision on tax acceptance tends to be moderated by the degree of false consensus.

Countries
Spain, Russian Federation, Netherlands, Russian Federation, Netherlands
Keywords

INFORMATION PROVISION, CLIMATE CHANGE, CARBON TAXES, Second-order beliefs, POLLUTION POLICY, False consensus, Policy support, EMISSIONS TRADING, CARBON, SECOND-ORDER BELIEF, CARBON PRICING, VIEW, SDG 13 - Climate Action, TAXATION, Pluralistic ignorance, POLICY SUPPORT, PERCEPTION, CARBON TAXATION, SPAIN, A-CARBON, PLURALISTIC IGNORANCE, SECOND ORDERS, POLLUTION TAX, Carbon pricing, PUBLIC ATTITUDE, SECOND-ORDER BELIEFS, FALSE CONSENSUS, COSTS

  • BIP!
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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    18
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Average
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
18
Top 10%
Average
Top 10%
Green
hybrid