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Biased perceptions of other people's attitudes to carbon taxation

Beliefs about other people's opinions on climate change influence one's own opinion. Such beliefs can, however, suffer from biases in perception. Using two nationally representative surveys, we examine this issue in a new context, namely of carbon-tax acceptance in Spain. We find that the more one expects the tax to be accepted by others, the more one accepts it personally. But opponents of a carbon tax tend to strongly overestimate the prevalence of their opinion, i.e. they exhibit a so-called false consensus effect. In contrast, despite holding the majority view, tax supporters somewhat underestimate the prevalence of their own view, which is known as pluralistic ignorance. We further test the role of information provision by providing participants with different percentages of people accepting the tax. Overall, we find little evidence that such information provision significantly increases tax acceptance. The impact of information provision on tax acceptance tends to be moderated by the degree of false consensus.
- University of Amsterdam Netherlands
- Free University of Amsterdam Pure VU Amsterdam Netherlands
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands
- Ural Federal University Russian Federation
- FEDERAL STATE AUTONOMOUS EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTION OF HIGHER PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION NOTHERN (ARCTIC) FEDERAL UNIVERSITY Russian Federation
INFORMATION PROVISION, CLIMATE CHANGE, CARBON TAXES, Second-order beliefs, POLLUTION POLICY, False consensus, Policy support, EMISSIONS TRADING, CARBON, SECOND-ORDER BELIEF, CARBON PRICING, VIEW, SDG 13 - Climate Action, TAXATION, Pluralistic ignorance, POLICY SUPPORT, PERCEPTION, CARBON TAXATION, SPAIN, A-CARBON, PLURALISTIC IGNORANCE, SECOND ORDERS, POLLUTION TAX, Carbon pricing, PUBLIC ATTITUDE, SECOND-ORDER BELIEFS, FALSE CONSENSUS, COSTS
INFORMATION PROVISION, CLIMATE CHANGE, CARBON TAXES, Second-order beliefs, POLLUTION POLICY, False consensus, Policy support, EMISSIONS TRADING, CARBON, SECOND-ORDER BELIEF, CARBON PRICING, VIEW, SDG 13 - Climate Action, TAXATION, Pluralistic ignorance, POLICY SUPPORT, PERCEPTION, CARBON TAXATION, SPAIN, A-CARBON, PLURALISTIC IGNORANCE, SECOND ORDERS, POLLUTION TAX, Carbon pricing, PUBLIC ATTITUDE, SECOND-ORDER BELIEFS, FALSE CONSENSUS, COSTS
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).18 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Average impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
