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Renewable Energy
Article . 2012 . Peer-reviewed
License: Elsevier TDM
Data sources: Crossref
image/svg+xml Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao Closed Access logo, derived from PLoS Open Access logo. This version with transparent background. http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Closed_Access_logo_transparent.svg Jakob Voss, based on art designer at PLoS, modified by Wikipedia users Nina and Beao
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Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation

Authors: Foley, Aoife M.; Leahy, P.G.; Marvuglia, Antonino; McKeogh, E.J.;

Current methods and advances in forecasting of wind power generation

Abstract

Wind power generation differs from conventional thermal generation due to the stochastic nature of wind. Thus wind power forecasting plays a key role in dealing with the challenges of balancing supply and demand in any electricity system, given the uncertainty associated with the wind farm power output. Accurate wind power forecasting reduces the need for additional balancing energy and reserve power to integrate wind power. Wind power forecasting tools enable better dispatch, scheduling and unit commitment of thermal generators, hydro plant and energy storage plant and more competitive market trading as wind power ramps up and down on the grid. This paper presents an in-depth review of the current methods and advances in wind power forecasting and prediction. Firstly, numerical wind prediction methods from global to local scales, ensemble forecasting, upscaling and downscaling processes are discussed. Next the statistical and machine learning approach methods are detailed. Then the techniques used for benchmarking and uncertainty analysis of forecasts are overviewed, and the performance of various approaches over different forecast time horizons is examined. Finally, current research activities, challenges and potential future developments are appraised.

Countries
United Kingdom, Ireland
Related Organizations
Keywords

/dk/atira/pure/subjectarea/asjc/2100/2105, /dk/atira/pure/sustainabledevelopmentgoals/affordable_and_clean_energy, Sustainability and the Environment, 330, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Probabilistic forecasting, Wind integration wind power forecasting, name=SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Numerical weather prediction, Meteorology, name=Renewable Energy, Renewable Energy, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
1K
Top 0.1%
Top 0.1%
Top 0.1%