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The evolution of electricity price on the German day-ahead market before and after the energy switch

Authors: Abdolrahman Khoshrou; Abdolrahman Khoshrou; André Dorsman; Eric J. Pauwels;

The evolution of electricity price on the German day-ahead market before and after the energy switch

Abstract

textabstractIn Europe, Germany is taking the lead in the switch from fossil and nuclear energy to renewables. This creates new challenges as wind and solar energy are fundamentally intermittent and to some degree, unpredictable. It is therefore of considerable interest to investigate what effect these changes have on the overall trend and volatility of the electricity price. While market coupling promises to reduce price volatility, dependence on renewable energy sources (RES) might have the opposite effect. To elucidate the combined impact of these two developments, we investigate the evolution of the electricity price on the German day-ahead market over the course of the last 11 years (2006-2016). Our main observations are that price volatility has decreased rather than increased. Furthermore, excess wind production during off-peak hours correlates well with the occurrence of negative prices. Finally, daily price profiles show a gradual shift in peak- prices away from the day-light hours, and this shift is more pronounced during the summer than in winter. This points to a growing influence of solar production on prices.

Country
Netherlands
Keywords

Renewable energy, 330, Sustainability and the Environment, Singular value decomposition, Energy switch, Electricity network, electricity network, Day-ahead price, 339, Volatility, SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy, Renewable Energy

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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
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OpenAIRE UsageCountsViews provided by UsageCounts
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