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Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

Authors: Peter Kershaw; Boris Vannière; Daniel G. Gavin; Neil Roberts; Olivier Blarquez; Rebecca Turner; Basil A. S. Davis; +66 Authors

Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

Abstract

Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo‐ fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote‐sensing observations of month‐by‐month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.

Countries
Australia, Switzerland, France, Germany, Australia, United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, Australia, Switzerland, Australia, Australia, Italy, United Kingdom
Keywords

biomass burning, 550, 2306 Global and Planetary Change, [SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, Burnt areas, Biomass, Moisture level, Greenland ice, Keywords: Biomass-burning, Global warming, ddc:no, Remote sensing, [SDU.ENVI] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, [ SDE.MCG ] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, 2304 Environmental Chemistry, Charcoal, STU:CL] Sciences of the Universe/Earth Sciences/Climatology [[SDU], Moisture balance, MCG] Sciences de l'environnement/Milieux et Changements globaux [[SDE], High-resolution, [ SDU.STU.CL ] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology, climate controls on fire, environment, 2300 Environmental Science, Regional climate, temperature changes, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, ENVI] Planète et Univers/Interfaces continentales, environnement [[SDU], United-States, [SDU.ENVI] Sciences of the Universe/Continental interfaces, environment, deglaciation, Fires, Interannual variability, sedimentary charcoal records, 1902 Atmospheric Science, [ SDU.ENVI ] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, MCG] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes [[SDE], ENVI] Sciences of the Universe/Continental interfaces, environment [[SDU], [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment, physiological r, info:eu-repo/classification/ddc/550, Holocene, STU:CL] Planète et Univers/Sciences de la Terre/Climatologie [[SDU], Fire regimes, [SDE.MCG] Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, [SDU.STU.CL] Sciences of the Universe/Earth Sciences/Climatology, annual variation, temperature changes., holocene, [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, holocene; biomass burning; climate controls on fire; deglaciation; sedimentary charcoal records; temperature changes, ddc: ddc:550

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    citations
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    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
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    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
326
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 1%
Green
bronze