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Climate, Irrigation, and Land Cover Change Explain Streamflow Trends in Countries Bordering the Northeast Atlantic

doi: 10.1029/2019gl084084
handle: 10261/198726
AbstractAttribution of trends in streamflow is complex, but essential, in identifying optimal management options for water resources. Disagreement remains on the relative role of climate change and human factors, including water abstractions and land cover change, in driving change in annual streamflow. We construct a very dense network of gauging stations (n = 1,874) from Ireland, the United Kingdom, France, Spain, and Portugal for the period of 1961–2012 to detect and then attribute changes in annual streamflow. Using regression‐based techniques, we show that climate (precipitation and atmospheric evaporative demand) explains many of the observed trends in northwest Europe, while for southwest Europe human disturbances better explain both temporal and spatial trends. For the latter, large increases in irrigated areas, agricultural intensification, and natural revegetation of marginal lands are inferred to be the dominant drivers of decreases in streamflow.
- UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology United Kingdom
- Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Hydro-Meteorological Research United Kingdom
- University of the Balearic Islands (UIB) Spain
- Natural Environment Research Council United Kingdom
- Estacion Experimental de Zonas Aridas Spain
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 550, PRÉCIPITATION, CLIMATE CHANGE, OCCUPATION DU SOL, drought, precipitation, 551, RESSOURCES EN EAU, water resources, 333, land cover, atmospheric evaporative demand, DROUGHT, SECHERESSE, ATMOSPHERIC EVAPORATIVE DEMAND, climate change, PRECIPITATION, CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, WATER RESOURCES, LAND COVER, Hydrology, DEMANDE EVAPORATIVE DE L'ATMOSPHERE
[SDE] Environmental Sciences, 550, PRÉCIPITATION, CLIMATE CHANGE, OCCUPATION DU SOL, drought, precipitation, 551, RESSOURCES EN EAU, water resources, 333, land cover, atmospheric evaporative demand, DROUGHT, SECHERESSE, ATMOSPHERIC EVAPORATIVE DEMAND, climate change, PRECIPITATION, CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, WATER RESOURCES, LAND COVER, Hydrology, DEMANDE EVAPORATIVE DE L'ATMOSPHERE
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).61 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% visibility views 73 download downloads 162 - 73views162downloads
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