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Divergent Causes of Terrestrial Water Storage Decline Between Drylands and Humid Regions Globally

doi: 10.1029/2021gl095035
AbstractDeclines in terrestrial water storage (TWS) exacerbate regional water scarcity and global sea level rise. Increasing evidence has shown that recent TWS declines are substantial in ecologically fragile drylands, but the mechanism remains unclear. Here, by synergizing satellite observations and model simulations, we quantitatively attribute TWS trends during 2002–2016 in major climate zones to three mechanistic drivers: climate variability, climate change, and direct human activities. We reveal that climate variability had transitory and limited impacts (<20%), whereas warming‐induced glacier loss and direct human activities dominate the TWS loss in humid regions (∼103%) and drylands (∼64%), respectively. In non‐glacierized humid areas, climate variability generated regional water gains that offset synchronous TWS declines. Yet in drylands, TWS losses are enduring and more widespread with direct human activities, particularly unsustainable groundwater abstraction. Our findings highlight the substantive human footprints on the already vulnerable arid regions and an imperative need for improved dryland water conservation.
- Chinese Academy of Sciences China (People's Republic of)
- Goethe University Frankfurt Germany
- Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre Germany
- Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research Switzerland
- Michigan State University United States
climate variability, 550, [SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences, 500, quantitative attribution, 333, global drylands, [SDU] Sciences of the Universe [physics], climate change, [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics], [SDU.STU] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences, terrestrial water storage, direct human activities
climate variability, 550, [SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences, 500, quantitative attribution, 333, global drylands, [SDU] Sciences of the Universe [physics], climate change, [SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics], [SDU.STU] Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences, terrestrial water storage, direct human activities
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