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Large historical growth in global terrestrial gross primary production

doi: 10.1038/nature22030
pmid: 28382993
Growth in terrestrial gross primary production (GPP)-the amount of carbon dioxide that is 'fixed' into organic material through the photosynthesis of land plants-may provide a negative feedback for climate change. It remains uncertain, however, to what extent biogeochemical processes can suppress global GPP growth. As a consequence, modelling estimates of terrestrial carbon storage, and of feedbacks between the carbon cycle and climate, remain poorly constrained. Here we present a global, measurement-based estimate of GPP growth during the twentieth century that is based on long-term atmospheric carbonyl sulfide (COS) records, derived from ice-core, firn and ambient air samples. We interpret these records using a model that simulates changes in COS concentration according to changes in its sources and sinks-including a large sink that is related to GPP. We find that the observation-based COS record is most consistent with simulations of climate and the carbon cycle that assume large GPP growth during the twentieth century (31% ± 5% growth; mean ± 95% confidence interval). Although this COS analysis does not directly constrain models of future GPP growth, it does provide a global-scale benchmark for historical carbon-cycle simulations.
- Carnegie Institution for Science United States
- French National Centre for Scientific Research France
- Earth System Research Laboratory United States
- UNIVERSITE PARIS DESCARTES France
- National Research Institute for Agriculture, Food and Environment France
Carbon Sequestration, 550, [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio], Climate Change, Sulfur Oxides, Antarctic Regions, Geographic Mapping, Carbon Cycle, Feedback, Ice Cover, Photosynthesis, teneur en dioxyde de carbone, [ SDV ] Life Sciences [q-bio], Atmosphere, production primaire brute, 500, Carbon Dioxide, History, 20th Century, Models, Theoretical, [SDV] Life Sciences [q-bio], Plant Leaves, photosynthèse foliaire
Carbon Sequestration, 550, [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio], Climate Change, Sulfur Oxides, Antarctic Regions, Geographic Mapping, Carbon Cycle, Feedback, Ice Cover, Photosynthesis, teneur en dioxyde de carbone, [ SDV ] Life Sciences [q-bio], Atmosphere, production primaire brute, 500, Carbon Dioxide, History, 20th Century, Models, Theoretical, [SDV] Life Sciences [q-bio], Plant Leaves, photosynthèse foliaire
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