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Ecological networks are more sensitive to plant than to animal extinction under climate change

AbstractImpacts of climate change on individual species are increasingly well documented, but we lack understanding of how these effects propagate through ecological communities. Here we combine species distribution models with ecological network analyses to test potential impacts of climate change on >700 plant and animal species in pollination and seed-dispersal networks from central Europe. We discover that animal species that interact with a low diversity of plant species have narrow climatic niches and are most vulnerable to climate change. In contrast, biotic specialization of plants is not related to climatic niche breadth and vulnerability. A simulation model incorporating different scenarios of species coextinction and capacities for partner switches shows that projected plant extinctions under climate change are more likely to trigger animal coextinctions than vice versa. This result demonstrates that impacts of climate change on biodiversity can be amplified via extinction cascades from plants to animals in ecological networks.
- University of Freiburg Germany
- Goethe University Frankfurt Germany
- University of Belgrade, Faculty of Philosophy Serbia
- University of Queensland Australia
- Helmholtz Association of German Research Centres Germany
570, 550, 1300 Biochemistry, Science, Climate, Climate Change, Population Dynamics, 577, General Physics and Astronomy, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Extinction, Biological, Species Specificity, Seed Dispersal, Animals, 3100 Physics and Astronomy, Pollination, Ecosystem, 580, ddc:550, Q, General Chemistry, Biodiversity, Models, Theoretical, Plants, 1600 Chemistry, Adaptation, Physiological, Europe, General Biochemistry, ddc: ddc:550
570, 550, 1300 Biochemistry, Science, Climate, Climate Change, Population Dynamics, 577, General Physics and Astronomy, Genetics and Molecular Biology, Extinction, Biological, Species Specificity, Seed Dispersal, Animals, 3100 Physics and Astronomy, Pollination, Ecosystem, 580, ddc:550, Q, General Chemistry, Biodiversity, Models, Theoretical, Plants, 1600 Chemistry, Adaptation, Physiological, Europe, General Biochemistry, ddc: ddc:550
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