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Feeding climate and biodiversity goals with novel plant-based meat and milk alternatives

pmid: 37699877
pmc: PMC10497520
AbstractPlant-based animal product alternatives are increasingly promoted to achieve more sustainable diets. Here, we use a global economic land use model to assess the food system-wide impacts of a global dietary shift towards these alternatives. We find a substantial reduction in the global environmental impacts by 2050 if globally 50% of the main animal products (pork, chicken, beef and milk) are substituted—net reduction of forest and natural land is almost fully halted and agriculture and land use GHG emissions decline by 31% in 2050 compared to 2020. If spared agricultural land within forest ecosystems is restored to forest, climate benefits could double, reaching 92% of the previously estimated land sector mitigation potential. Furthermore, the restored area could contribute to 13-25% of the estimated global land restoration needs under target 2 from the Kunming Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework by 2030, and future declines in ecosystem integrity by 2050 would be more than halved. The distribution of these impacts varies across regions—the main impacts on agricultural input use are in China and on environmental outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa and South America. While beef replacement provides the largest impacts, substituting multiple products is synergistic.
- CGIAR France
- Free University of Amsterdam Pure VU Amsterdam Netherlands
- Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Netherlands
- University of Amsterdam Netherlands
- University of Vermont United States
Meat, 550, Science, milk by-products-dairy byproducts, 630, Article, climate change mitigation, meat, Magnoliopsida, deforestation, Animals, Ecosystem, biodiversity, greenhouse gas emissions, Q, Biodiversity, climate change, Milk, Cattle, meat substitutes-meat analogues, Goals
Meat, 550, Science, milk by-products-dairy byproducts, 630, Article, climate change mitigation, meat, Magnoliopsida, deforestation, Animals, Ecosystem, biodiversity, greenhouse gas emissions, Q, Biodiversity, climate change, Milk, Cattle, meat substitutes-meat analogues, Goals
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).63 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
