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Nature Communications
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
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Nature Communications
Article . 2023
Data sources: DOAJ
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Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures

Authors: orcid bw Martin Mozny;
Martin Mozny
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Martin Mozny in OpenAIRE
orcid Miroslav Trnka;
Miroslav Trnka
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Miroslav Trnka in OpenAIRE
orcid Vojtech Vlach;
Vojtech Vlach
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Vojtech Vlach in OpenAIRE
Zdenek Zalud; Tomas Cejka; Lenka Hajkova; orcid bw Vera Potopova;
Vera Potopova
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Vera Potopova in OpenAIRE
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Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures

Abstract

AbstractA recent rise in the global brewery sector has increased the demand for high-quality, late summer hops. The effects of ongoing and predicted climate change on the yield and aroma of hops, however, remain largely unknown. Here, we combine meteorological measurements and model projections to assess the climate sensitivity of the yield, alpha content and cone development of European hops between 1970 and 2050 CE, when temperature increases by 1.4 °C and precipitation decreases by 24 mm. Accounting for almost 90% of all hop-growing regions, our results from Germany, the Czech Republic and Slovenia show that hop ripening started approximately 20 days earlier, production declined by almost 0.2 t/ha/year, and the alpha content decreased by circa 0.6% when comparing data before and after 1994 CE. A predicted decline in hop yield and alpha content of 4–18% and 20–31% by 2050 CE, respectively, calls for immediate adaptation measures to stabilize an ever-growing global sector.

Country
Czech Republic
Keywords

Science, Climate Change, Q, Temperature, crop production, Agriculture, adaptation measures, hops, climate change, decline in quality, Odorants, spatiotemporal analysis, Humulus, plant cone

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