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Weather explains the decline and rise of insect biomass over 34 years

pmid: 37758943
Insects have a pivotal role in ecosystem function, thus the decline of more than 75% in insect biomass in protected areas over recent decades in Central Europe1 and elsewhere2,3 has alarmed the public, pushed decision-makers4 and stimulated research on insect population trends. However, the drivers of this decline are still not well understood. Here, we reanalysed 27 years of insect biomass data from Hallmann et al.1, using sample-specific information on weather conditions during sampling and weather anomalies during the insect life cycle. This model explained variation in temporal decline in insect biomass, including an observed increase in biomass in recent years, solely on the basis of these weather variables. Our finding that terrestrial insect biomass is largely driven by complex weather conditions challenges previous assumptions that climate change is more critical in the tropics5,6 or that negative consequences in the temperate zone might only occur in the future7. Despite the recent observed increase in biomass, new combinations of unfavourable multi-annual weather conditions might be expected to further threaten insect populations under continuing climate change. Our findings also highlight the need for more climate change research on physiological mechanisms affected by annual weather conditions and anomalies.
- Technical University of Munich Germany
- University of Zurich Switzerland
- University of Würzburg Germany
- University of Technology Russian Federation
Data Analysis, 1000 Multidisciplinary, Life Cycle Stages, Insecta, Time Factors, Climate Change, Population Dynamics, 610 Medicine & health, 10060 Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), Europe, Animals, Biomass, Weather, Ecosystem
Data Analysis, 1000 Multidisciplinary, Life Cycle Stages, Insecta, Time Factors, Climate Change, Population Dynamics, 610 Medicine & health, 10060 Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), Europe, Animals, Biomass, Weather, Ecosystem
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).45 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
