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Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

Authors: Edurne Martinez del Castillo; Christian S. Zang; Allan Buras; Andrew Hacket-Pain; Jan Esper; Roberto Serrano-Notivoli; Claudia Hartl; +41 Authors

Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests

Abstract

AbstractThe growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from −20% to more than −50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.

Countries
Slovenia, Slovenia, United Kingdom, Serbia, Italy, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Germany
Keywords

570, productivity, Fagus sylvatica, QH301-705.5, Climate Change, 577, drought, 910, Forests, Article, Trees, 570 Life sciences, forest, Fagus, Canvi climàtic, Biology (General), info:eu-repo/classification/udc/630*1, 580, nonhuman, Drought, Climate-change ecology, beech, climate change, wood growth, Droughts, Europe, Boscos i silvicultura, climate change, bukev, Fagus sylvatica, klimatske spremembe, prirastek lesa, ddc:570, Article ; Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences ; Environmental Sciences ; Biological Sciences, Forest ecology, 570 Biowissenschaften, ddc: ddc:

  • BIP!
    Impact byBIP!
    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    163
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 1%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 0.1%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
163
Top 1%
Top 10%
Top 0.1%
Green
gold