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Climate change risks for African agriculture

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment of major risks for African agriculture and food security caused by climate change during coming decades is confirmed by a review of more recent climate change impact assessments (14 quantitative, six qualitative). Projected impacts relative to current production levels range from −100% to +168% in econometric, from −84% to +62% in process-based, and from −57% to +30% in statistical assessments. Despite large uncertainty, there are several robust conclusions from published literature for policy makers and research agendas: agriculture everywhere in Africa runs some risk to be negatively affected by climate change; existing cropping systems and infrastructure will have to change to meet future demand. With respect to growing population and the threat of negative climate change impacts, science will now have to show if and how agricultural production in Africa can be significantly improved.
- Laboratoire Parole et Langage France
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
- French Institute for Research in Computer Science and Automation France
- Leibniz Association Germany
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
Greenhouse Effect, Models, Statistical, ddc:550, Climate Change, Agriculture, [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society, Africa, [SDE.ES] Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society, Humans, [ SDE.ES ] Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society
Greenhouse Effect, Models, Statistical, ddc:550, Climate Change, Agriculture, [SDE.ES]Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society, Africa, [SDE.ES] Environmental Sciences/Environment and Society, Humans, [ SDE.ES ] Environmental Sciences/Environmental and Society
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).368 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 1% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 1%
