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Marine wild-capture fisheries after nuclear war

SignificanceNuclear conflict poses the chilling prospect of triggering abrupt global cooling, and consequently, severely reduced crop production. However, the impacts on marine fisheries are unknown. If agricultural yields fall on land, could we turn to the sea instead? Here, we show that agricultural losses could not be offset by the world’s fisheries, especially given widespread overfishing. Cold temperatures and reduced sunlight would decrease the growth of fish biomass, at worst as much as under unmitigated climate change. Although intensified postwar fishing could yield a small catch increase, dramatic declines would ensue due to overharvesting. However, effective prewar fisheries management would create a substantial buffer of fish in the ocean, greatly increasing the oceans’ potential contribution during a global food emergency.
- Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR) University of Colorado, Boulder United States
- Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey United States
- Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research) Germany
- Institut de Ciència I Tecnologia Ambientals Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona Edifici Z Spain
- Atmospheric Chemistry Observations & Modeling United States
570, Conservation of Natural Resources, Global food security, 330, Climate Change, Oceans and Seas, Fisheries, 333, Russia, Fisheries management, Food from the ocean, Animals, Computer Simulation, Biomass, Abrupt climate change, Nuclear winter, Nuclear Warfare, Fishes, Biological Sciences, Models, Theoretical, United States, Food Security
570, Conservation of Natural Resources, Global food security, 330, Climate Change, Oceans and Seas, Fisheries, 333, Russia, Fisheries management, Food from the ocean, Animals, Computer Simulation, Biomass, Abrupt climate change, Nuclear winter, Nuclear Warfare, Fishes, Biological Sciences, Models, Theoretical, United States, Food Security
citations This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).23 popularity This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10% influence This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).Top 10% impulse This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.Top 10%
