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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Article . 2023 . Peer-reviewed
License: CC BY
Data sources: Crossref
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https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/fj...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
https://dx.doi.org/10.60692/yb...
Other literature type . 2023
Data sources: Datacite
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Observation-derived 2010-2019 trends in methane emissions and intensities from US oil and gas fields tied to activity metrics

اتجاهات 2010-2019 المستمدة من الملاحظة في انبعاثات الميثان وكثافته من حقول النفط والغاز الأمريكية المرتبطة بمقاييس النشاط
Authors: Xiao Lu; Daniel J. Jacob; Yuzhong Zhang; Lu Shen; Melissa P. Sulprizio; Joannes D. Maasakkers; Daniel J. Varon; +8 Authors

Observation-derived 2010-2019 trends in methane emissions and intensities from US oil and gas fields tied to activity metrics

Abstract

The United States is the world’s largest oil/gas methane emitter according to current national reports. Reducing these emissions is a top priority in the US government’s climate action plan. Here, we use a 2010 to 2019 high-resolution inversion of surface and satellite observations of atmospheric methane to quantify emission trends for individual oil/gas production regions in North America and relate them to production and infrastructure. We estimate a mean US oil/gas methane emission of 14.8 (12.4 to 16.5) Tg a−1for 2010 to 2019, 70% higher than reported by the US Environmental Protection Agency. While emissions in Canada and Mexico decreased over the period, US emissions increased from 2010 to 2014, decreased until 2017, and rose again afterward. Increases were driven by the largest production regions (Permian, Anadarko, Marcellus), while emissions in the smaller production regions generally decreased. Much of the year-to-year emission variability can be explained by oil/gas production rates, active well counts, and new wells drilled, with the 2014 to 2017 decrease driven by reduction in new wells and the 2017 to 2019 surge driven by upswing of production. We find a steady decrease in the oil/gas methane intensity (emission per unit methane gas production) for almost all major US production regions. The mean US methane intensity decreased from 3.7% in 2010 to 2.5% in 2019. If the methane intensity for the oil/gas supply chain continues to decrease at this pace, we may expect a 32% decrease in US oil/gas emissions by 2030 despite projected increases in production.

Keywords

Atmospheric sciences, Organic chemistry, Oceanography, Greenhouse gas, Environmental science, Engineering, Characterization of Shale Gas Pore Structure, Environmental Chemistry, Ion, Global and Planetary Change, Atmospheric methane, Methane emissions, Emission intensity, Fossil fuel, Geology, FOS: Earth and related environmental sciences, Chemistry, Mechanics of Materials, Anaerobic Methane Oxidation and Gas Hydrates, Emissions, Global Methane Emissions and Impacts, Environmental Science, Physical Sciences, Methane Oxidation, Methane

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    citations
    This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    28
    popularity
    This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
    influence
    This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
    Top 10%
    impulse
    This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
    Top 10%
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citations
This is an alternative to the "Influence" indicator, which also reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Citations provided by BIP!
popularity
This indicator reflects the "current" impact/attention (the "hype") of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Popularity provided by BIP!
influence
This indicator reflects the overall/total impact of an article in the research community at large, based on the underlying citation network (diachronically).
BIP!Influence provided by BIP!
impulse
This indicator reflects the initial momentum of an article directly after its publication, based on the underlying citation network.
BIP!Impulse provided by BIP!
28
Top 10%
Top 10%
Top 10%
Green
hybrid